Milavsky D - Chan D. 🇨🇦
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Milavsky D — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Milavsky D): model 49% · market 58% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Milavsky D 52.7%, win Chan D. 🇨🇦 47.3%. Model favourite — Milavsky D.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Милавски Д
- • (Сша) — Чан Д
- • (Кан) (теннис)
- • Милавски Д
- • (Сша): форма ПВВПП (2-3)
- • линия на пик П1 1.50→1.47 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
- • Модель ставит на Милавски Д
- • (Сша): вероятность 58% против 64% по линии (кэф 1.55)
- ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-6 пп) — прогноз информационный.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Milavsky D - Chan D. 🇨🇦 14 июля 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Milavsky D.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.20
- Glicko: Milavsky D 52.7% / Chan D. 🇨🇦 47.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:7/7 ready
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total games | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 61% | 39% | 2:0 | ТБ 22.5 | победа Милавски с форой или точный счет 2:0 по сетам. |
| DeepSeek | 65% | 35% | 2:1 | ТБ 22.5 | Победа Милавски с форой (-2.5) |
| ChatGPT | 63% | 37% | 2:0 | ТМ 23.5 | П1 — победа Милавски за 1.62 |
| Claude | 64% | 36% | 2:0 | ТМ 22.5 | П1 (победа Милавски) |
| Qwen | 62% | 38% | 2:1 | ТБ 22.5 | Победа Милавски Д. (П1) |
| Kimi | 62% | 38% | 2:0 | ТМ 22.5 | П1 |
| GLM 5.2 | 62% | 38% | 2:0 в пользу Милавски | ТМ 22.5 геймов | Победа Милавски -1.5 по сетам (2:0) |
Milavsky D - Chan D. 🇨🇦
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -0.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П1 -1.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.75 57.1% |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| П2 +0.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.80 55.6% | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.77 56.5% | — |
| П2 -0.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 20.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% | — |
| ТБ 21.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% | — |
| ТБ 22.5 | 1.94 51.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.99 50.3% |
| ТБ 23.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% | — |
| ТБ 24.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% | — |
| ТМ 20.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% | — |
| ТМ 21.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| ТМ 22.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.76 56.8% |
| ТМ 23.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% | — |
| ТМ 24.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 | 1.94 51.6% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.20 45.5% | 1.97 50.8% |
Full head-to-head historyMilavsky D - Chan D. 🇨🇦