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Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
15.07.2026 15:00 MSK Match prediction

Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 - Boulais J

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard hard 15.07.2026 15:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 15:00 MSK Finished
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
W
B
Boulais J
W
0:2
Odds
P1 1.67 79.3% BetBoom
P2 6.40 20.7% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵): model 49% · market 55% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 ✓ Прогноз68.1%
market55%
2 · Boulais J31.9%
market45%

Model estimate: win Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 68.1%, win Boulais J 31.9%. Model favourite — Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 (odds1.67) confidence 64% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 - Boulais J 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.67 / 2 2.08
  • Glicko: Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 68.1% / Boulais J 31.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 55.5%
2 44.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.88 ↓ 1.67
Победитель П2 1.87 ↑ 2.08

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated14.07.2026 15:23 MSK
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated14.07.2026 15:35 MSK
1 76% ✓ favourite
2 24%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П1 (победа Шимизу)
Qwen updated14.07.2026 15:31 MSK
1 32%
2 68% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:Победа Уго Карабелли (П2)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated14.07.2026 15:38 MSK
1 68% ✓ favourite
2 32%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П1
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 15:39 MSK
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П1
Per AI data Form:4W-1L / 2W-3L H2H: No previous meetings Injuries:None reported

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 П1
Claude 76% 24% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 П1 (победа Шимизу)
Qwen 32% 68% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 Победа Уго Карабелли (П2)
Kimi 68% 32% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 П1
GLM 5.2 65% 35% 2:0 ТБ 22.5 П1
Match center
Start 15.07.2026 15:00 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 - Boulais J

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 70.2% 68.1% market and model agree
Boulais J 29.8% 31.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 68.1% / 31.9% probabilities
Rating 1,561 / 1,685 Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 / Boulais J
RD 247 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,067-2,054 / 1,310-2,061 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 Fonbet · no value · model 31.9%
1 1.67 Fonbet · value +13.7% · model 68.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
П1 +0.5 1.62 61.7% —
П1 +1.5 1.68 59.5% —
П1 -0.5 1.70 58.8% —
П1 -1.5 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3%
П1 -2.5 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6%
П1 -3.5 2.15 46.5% —
П2 +0.5 2.15 46.5% —
П2 +1.5 2.05 48.8% 1.93 51.8%
П2 +2.5 — 1.80 55.6%
П2 -0.5 2.02 49.5% —
П2 -1.5 1.87 53.5% —
П2 -2.5 1.72 58.1% —
П2 -3.5 1.62 61.7% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.55 64.5% —
ТБ 21.5 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 22.5 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 23.5 2.10 47.6% —
ТБ 24.5 2.25 44.4% —
ТМ 20.5 2.35 42.6% —
ТМ 21.5 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 23.5 1.65 60.6% —
ТМ 24.5 1.58 63.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%
П2 6.40 15.6% 5.90 17.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
W
13.07 20:00 МСК Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 2:1 Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Boulais J
W
13.07 20:30 МСК Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Boulais J 2:0 Chzhan Ch. 🇨🇳Chzhan Ch. 🇨🇳
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage