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Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
13.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 - Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard hard 13.07.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
13.07.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
H
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
2:1
Odds
P1 2.35 86.5% BetBoom
P2 15.00 13.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 — 83%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵): model 49% · market 94% Δ −45 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 ✓ Прогноз82.7%
market94%
2 · Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵17.3%
market6%

Model estimate: win Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 82.7%, win Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 17.3%. Model favourite — Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 (odds2.35) confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 - Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 13 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 82.7% / Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 17.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 ✓ Прогноз 93.7%
2 6.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.35 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 1.53 ↑ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵

no data

Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated13.07.2026 17:17 UTC
1 35%
2 65% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П2
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
DeepSeek updated13.07.2026 17:18 UTC
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Френда (П2)
ChatGPT updated13.07.2026 17:25 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П1 — победа
Per AI data Form:3-2 / 3-2
Claude updated13.07.2026 17:28 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П1 Симидзу за 2.40
Qwen updated13.07.2026 17:24 UTC
1 63% ✓ favourite
2 37%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Шимизу (П1)
Per AI data Form:2-3 (2W-3L) / 3-2 (3W-2L)
Kimi updated13.07.2026 17:30 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П1
Per AI data Form:2W-3L (W Carboni, L Bolt, W Tokuda, L Michalski, L Gengel) / 4W-1L (L Tarvet, W Winter, W Johns, W Milavsky, W Mmoh)
GLM 5.2 updated13.07.2026 17:32 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 21.5 Bet:Победа Симидзу (П1)
Per AI data H2H: 0:0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 35% 65% 0:2 ТБ 21.5 П2
DeepSeek 40% 60% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 Победа Френда (П2)
ChatGPT 58% 42% 2:1 ТБ 21.5 П1 — победа
Claude 62% 38% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 П1 Симидзу за 2.40
Qwen 63% 37% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 Победа Шимизу (П1)
Kimi 62% 38% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 П1
GLM 5.2 65% 35% 2:0 ТМ 21.5 Победа Симидзу (П1)
Match center
Start 13.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 - Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 86.5% 82.7% market and model agree
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 13.5% 17.3%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 82.7% / 17.3% probabilities
Rating 1,386 / 1,617 Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 / Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
RD 288 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 809-1,963 / 1,230-2,004 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.11 market consensus · no value · model 17.3%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 82.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
П1 -1.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
П1 -5.5 1.71 58.5% 1.72 58.1% —
П2 +0.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
П2 +3.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
П2 +4.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
П2 +5.5 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% —
П2 -0.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
П2 -2.5 — — 3.25 30.8%
П2 -3.5 — — 3.75 26.7%
П2 -4.5 — — 10.50 9.5%
П2 -5.5 — — 9.50 10.5%
П2 -6.5 — — 1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 18.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 19.5 1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5% —
ТБ 20.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 21.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 22.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 23.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 25.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 26.5 — — 9.50 10.5%
ТБ 27.5 — — 10.50 9.5%
ТБ 28.5 — — 3.95 25.3%
ТМ 18.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 19.5 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% —
ТМ 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 21.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 22.5 — — 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.01 99.0% 2.35 42.6%
П2 5.30 18.9% 5.50 18.2% 15.00 6.7% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
L
07.07 17:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Laval (Канада), хард
Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵 0:2 Колби Р. (Сша)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
W L W L L
10.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Laval (Канада), хард
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 2:1 Кирхгаймер С. (Сша)
03.07 13:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Кэри (США), хард
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 0:2 Shick B. (Сша)Shick B. (Сша)
02.07 12:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Кэри (США), хард
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 2:0 Мартинес А. (Исп)Мартинес А. (Исп)
01.06 14:45 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Tyler (США) - квалификация, хард
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 1:2 Poling K. (Сша)Poling K. (Сша)
29.05 21:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Little Rock (США), хард
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 1:2 Було Дж. (Кан)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage