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ATP Challenger. Kordenons
ATP Challenger. Kordenons International
14.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Alcala Gurri M - Tabakko Dzh

Tennis ATP Challenger. Kordenons
ATP Challenger. Kordenons 14.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
Alcala Gurri M
Alcala Gurri M
Tabakko Dzh
Tabakko Dzh
2:0
Odds
P1 1.16 92.8% BetBoom
P2 15.00 7.2% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Alcala Gurri M — 77%

Pure model vs market (1 · Alcala Gurri M): model 50% · market 94% Δ −44 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Alcala Gurri M ✓ Прогноз77.3%
market94%
2 · Tabakko Dzh22.7%
market6%

Model estimate: win Alcala Gurri M 77.3%, win Tabakko Dzh 22.7%. Model favourite — Alcala Gurri M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alcala Gurri M - Tabakko Dzh 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alcala Gurri M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alcala Gurri M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Alcala Gurri M 77.3% / Tabakko Dzh 22.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 ✓ Прогноз 93.7%
2 6.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.25 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 3.50 ↑ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Alcala Gurri M - Tabakko Dzh

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alcala Gurri M 80.3% 77.3% market and model agree
Tabakko Dzh 19.7% 22.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.3% / 22.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,567 Alcala Gurri M / Tabakko Dzh
RD 350 / 228 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,111-2,022 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.97 market consensus · no value · model 22.7%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 77.3%
Total
Over 13.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Over 14.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -10.5 — — 3.95 25.3%
П1 -4.5 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% —
П1 -5.5 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% —
П2 +4.5 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% —
П2 +5.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% —
П2 -10.5 — — 1.20 83.3%
П2 -2.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
П2 -3.5 — — 3.10 32.3%
П2 -4.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
П2 -5.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
П2 -6.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
П2 -7.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
П2 -8.5 — — 4.90 20.4%
П2 -9.5 — — 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 13.5 — — 1.20 83.3%
ТБ 14.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 15.5 — — 4.70 21.3%
ТБ 16.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 17.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 18.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 19.5 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 21.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 22.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
ТМ 19.5 1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5% —
ТМ 20.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.16 86.2% 1.11 90.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.15 87.0%
П2 4.70 21.3% 5.50 18.2% 15.00 6.7% 4.70 21.3%
Match center
Alcala Gurri M
L W W
10.07 10:10 UTC+0 World Tennis. Мужчины. Германия
Alcala Gurri M 0:2 Речек Д
09.07 14:55 UTC+0 World Tennis. Мужчины. Германия
Alcala Gurri M 2:1 Эреншнайдер Н
07.07 12:45 UTC+0 World Tennis. Мужчины. Германия
Alcala Gurri M 2:1 Зикенбергер Т
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Tabakko Dzh
L W W
10.07 10:10 UTC+0 World Tennis. Мужчины. Германия
Tabakko Dzh 0:2 Речек Д
09.07 14:55 UTC+0 World Tennis. Мужчины. Германия
Tabakko Dzh 2:1 Эреншнайдер Н
07.07 12:45 UTC+0 World Tennis. Мужчины. Германия
Tabakko Dzh 2:1 Зикенбергер Т
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
67% Win percentage