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ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons
15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Match prediction

Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 - Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷

Tennis ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons clay 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
B
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷
Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷
W
2:0
Odds
P1 2.30 41.0% BetBoom
P2 1.60 59.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷 — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷): model 50% · market 59% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bondioli F. 🇮🇹41.4%
market41%
2 · Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷58.6%
market59%

Model estimate: win Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 41.4%, win Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷 58.6%. Model favourite — Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷 (odds1.60) confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 - Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / 2 1.57
  • Glicko: Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 41.4% / Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 41.1%
2 58.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.72 ↑ 2.30
Победитель П2 2.05 ↓ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
4-6LWLLWLLWLW
scored 1.0conceded 1.5
Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷
8-2WWLWWWLWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 - Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 40.3% 41.4%
Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷 59.7% 58.6% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.4% / 58.6% probabilities
Rating 1,711 / 1,697 Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 / Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷
RD 162 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,387-2,035 / 1,402-1,993 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 58.6%
1 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 41.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 +0.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
П1 +1.5 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5% 2.02 49.5% —
П1 +2.5 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
П1 +3.5 — — 1.70 58.8% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.60 62.5% —
П2 +1.5 — — 1.70 58.8% —
П2 +2.5 — — 1.80 55.6% —
П2 +3.5 — — 2.02 49.5% —
П2 -1.5 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% — —
П2 -2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% — 1.88 53.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.50 66.7% —
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.67 59.9% —
ТБ 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6% —
ТБ 23.5 — — 2.30 43.5% —
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.40 41.7% —
ТМ 19.5 — — 2.45 40.8% —
ТМ 20.5 — — 2.08 48.1% —
ТМ 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9%
ТМ 22.5 — — 1.65 60.6% —
ТМ 23.5 — — 1.55 64.5% —
ТМ 24.5 — — 1.50 66.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5%
П2 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
W L W W L
14.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Корденонс (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 2:1 Гийен Меза А. (Экв)
10.07 16:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 1:2 Bernet H. (Шва)Bernet H. (Шва)
09.07 12:45 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 2:0 Mrva M. (Чех)
07.07 16:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 2:1 Schwaerzler J. J. (Авт)
30.06 09:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Troyes (Франция), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 1:2 Монтес де ла Торре И. (Исп)Монтес де ла Торре И. (Исп)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷
W
13.07 15:30 МСК Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷 2:0 Reberg M. Kh. 🇩🇪Reberg M. Kh. 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage