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ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons
14.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 - Bondioli F. 🇮🇹

Tennis ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons clay 14.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
G
Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨
B
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
1:2
Odds
P1 1.98 56.8% BetBoom
P2 2.60 43.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 — 52%

Pure model vs market (2 · Bondioli F. 🇮🇹): model 55% · market 35% Δ +20 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨47.8%
2 · Bondioli F. 🇮🇹52.2%

Model estimate: win Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 47.8%, win Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 52.2%. Model favourite — Bondioli F. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 (odds1.87) confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 - Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨.

Line favourite Fonbet: Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.60
  • Glicko: Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 47.8% / Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 64.5%
2 35.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.05 ↓ 1.43
Победитель П2 1.68 ↑ 2.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨
5-5WLWLWWLLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
4-6LWLLWLLWLW
scored 1.0conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated14.07.2026 03:23 UTC
1 45%
2 55% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П2
Per AI data Form:LLLWW / LWWLL
DeepSeek updated14.07.2026 03:04 UTC
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Бондиоли (П2)
ChatGPT updated14.07.2026 05:49 UTC
1 48%
2 52% ✓ favourite
Bet:2
Claude updated14.07.2026 03:32 UTC
1 46%
2 54% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Бондиоли Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2 (победа Бондиоли) за 1.80
Qwen updated14.07.2026 03:29 UTC
1 48%
2 52% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Бондиоли Ф. + ТБ 22.5 гейма
Kimi updated14.07.2026 03:33 UTC
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2 Бондьоли 1.8
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 03:34 UTC
1 46%
2 54% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2 (победа Bondioli)
Per AI data Form:3-2 / 4-1

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 45% 55% 1:2 ТБ 21.5 П2
DeepSeek 40% 60% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 Победа Бондиоли (П2)
ChatGPT 48% 52% — — 2
Claude 46% 54% 2:1 Бондиоли ТБ 22.5 П2 (победа Бондиоли) за 1.80
Qwen 48% 52% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 Победа Бондиоли Ф. + ТБ 22.5 гейма
Kimi 42% 58% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 П2 Бондьоли 1.8
GLM 5.2 46% 54% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 П2 (победа Bondioli)
Match center
Start 14.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 - Bondioli F. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 48.1% 47.8%
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 51.9% 52.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 47.8% / 52.2% probabilities
Rating 1,225 / 1,690 Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 / Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
RD 226 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 773-1,676 / 1,356-2,023 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 Fonbet · value +35.6% · model 52.2%
1 1.43 Fonbet · no value · model 47.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +0.5 1.88 53.2% — —
П1 +1.5 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% —
П1 0 — 1.94 51.6% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
П2 +1.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
П2 +3.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
П2 +4.5 — — 4.05 24.7%
П2 +5.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
П2 -0.5 1.84 54.4% — 1.80 55.6%
П2 -1.5 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 2.25 44.4%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
П2 0 — 1.77 56.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 22.5 1.91 52.4% 2.05 48.8% 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 23.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 24.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 25.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 26.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 27.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 28.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 29.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% —
ТМ 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.68 59.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.94 51.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.98 50.5%
П2 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 2.60 38.5% 1.74 57.5%
Match center
Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨
L L L
05.07 13:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 0:2 Сквайр Г. (Гер)
11.06 06:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия), грунт
Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 1:2 Чеккинато М. (Ита)
19.05 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Giyen Meza A. 🇪🇨 0:2 Смит К. (Сша)
0 Wins
3 Losses
0.3 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
L W W L L
10.07 16:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 1:2 Bernet H. (Шва)Bernet H. (Шва)
09.07 12:45 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 2:0 Mrva M. (Чех)
07.07 16:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 2:1 Schwaerzler J. J. (Авт)
30.06 09:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Troyes (Франция), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 1:2 Монтес де ла Торре И. (Исп)Монтес де ла Торре И. (Исп)
11.06 08:40 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия), грунт
Bondioli F. 🇮🇹 1:2 Де Йонг Й. (Нид)Де Йонг Й. (Нид)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage