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Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
14.07.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction

Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 - Rivet M

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay clay 14.07.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
V
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷
R
Rivet M
2:0
Odds
P1 2.32 40.8% BetBoom
P2 1.60 59.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rivet M — 57%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rivet M): model 43% · market 59% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Villanueva G. 🇦🇷42.8%
2 · Rivet M57.2%

Model estimate: win Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 42.8%, win Rivet M 57.2%. Model favourite — Rivet M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 - Rivet M 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rivet M.

Line favourite market consensus: Rivet M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / 2 1.60
  • Glicko: Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 42.8% / Rivet M 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 40.8%
2 59.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Villanueva G. 🇦🇷
7-3LWWLWWWWLW
scored 1.4conceded 1.1
Rivet M
4-6WLLWLWLWLL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 - Rivet M

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 41.3% 42.8%
Rivet M 58.8% 57.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 42.8% / 57.2% probabilities
Rating 2,064 / 1,370 Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 / Rivet M
RD 177 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,711-2,418 / 987-1,754 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 57.2%
1 2.26 market consensus · no value · model 42.8%
Total
Over 21.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 +1.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
П1 +2.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
П2 -1.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
П2 -2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.89 52.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.20 45.5%
П2 1.58 63.3% 1.54 64.9% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷
W W W W W
13.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Корденонс (Италия) - квалификация, грунт
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 2:0 Gandolfi G. (Ита)
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия) - квалификация, грунт
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 2:0 Бокки Л. (Ита)
05.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия) - квалификация, грунт
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 2:1 Ковалик Й. (Слк)
26.06 17:20 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Пирасикаба (Бразилия), грунт
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 2:0 Абоян В. (Арг)
13.06 14:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Brasilia (Бразилия), грунт
Villanueva G. 🇦🇷 2:0 Оливейра Н. (Бра)
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.2 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Rivet M
L W L L
08.07 08:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Rivet M 1:2 Додиг М
05.07 10:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Rivet M 2:0 Roncadelli F. (Уру)Roncadelli F. (Уру)
30.06 09:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Милан (Италия), грунт
Rivet M 0:2 Rapagnetta D. (Ита)
08.06 10:35 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия), грунт
Rivet M 1:2 Агаменоне Ф. (Ита)Агаменоне Ф. (Ита)
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
25% Win percentage