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Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
14.07.2026 20:25 MSK Match prediction

Lajal M - Svajda T. 🇺🇸

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard hard 14.07.2026 20:25 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 20:25 MSK Finished
Lajal M
Lajal M
S
Svajda T. 🇺🇸
2:1
Odds
P1 1.80 53.3% BetBoom
P2 2.05 46.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Lajal M — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Lajal M): model 51% · market 52% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Lajal M53.3%
2 · Svajda T. 🇺🇸46.7%

Model estimate: win Lajal M 53.3%, win Svajda T. 🇺🇸 46.7%. Model favourite — Lajal M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lajal M (odds1.74) confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lajal M - Svajda T. 🇺🇸 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lajal M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lajal M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / 2 1.95
  • Glicko: Lajal M 53.3% / Svajda T. 🇺🇸 46.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 52.0%
2 48.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.50 ↑ 1.80
Победитель П2 2.40 ↓ 1.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Lajal M
6-4WLLWWLWLWW
scored 1.3conceded 1.1
Svajda T. 🇺🇸

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated14.07.2026 20:03 MSK
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П1
Per AI data Form:L,L,L,W,L / W,W,W,W,L H2H: 0:0
Qwen updated14.07.2026 20:06 MSK
1 45%
2 55% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:Победа Т. Свайды (П2)
Kimi updated14.07.2026 20:09 MSK
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П1 (победа Лаяла)
Per AI data Form:5-0 (W vs Harris, W vs Martin, W vs Hsu, W vs Fery, W vs Holmgren) / 1-4 (L vs Shimizu, W vs Cui, L vs Butvilas, L vs Smith, L vs McDonald)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 62% 38% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 П1
Qwen 45% 55% 0:2 ТМ 22.5 Победа Т. Свайды (П2)
Kimi 58% 42% 2:1 ТБ 21.5 П1 (победа Лаяла)
Match center
Start 14.07.2026 20:25 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Lajal M - Svajda T. 🇺🇸

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lajal M 53.5% 53.3% market and model agree
Svajda T. 🇺🇸 46.5% 46.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.3% / 46.7% probabilities
Rating 1,554 / 1,304 Lajal M / Svajda T. 🇺🇸
RD 174 / 284 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,206-1,902 / 736-1,872 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · no value · model 46.7%
1 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 53.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.81 55.3% — —
П1 -1.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
П1 -2.5 1.81 55.3% — —
П1 -3.5 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% —
П2 +0.5 1.91 52.4% — 1.95 51.3%
П2 +1.5 1.86 53.8% 1.79 55.9% 2.10 47.6%
П2 +2.5 1.91 52.4% — —
П2 +3.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% —
П2 -0.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 21.5 1.76 56.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.73 57.8%
ТБ 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
ТМ 20.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
ТМ 21.5 1.97 50.8% 1.83 54.6% 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 23.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 24.5 — — 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1%
П2 2.05 48.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8%
Match center
Lajal M
L W W L W
13.06 08:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Илкли (Великобритания), трава
Lajal M 0:2 Юнчаокете Б. (Кит)Юнчаокете Б. (Кит)
08.06 11:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Илкли (Великобритания) - квалификация, трава
Lajal M 2:1 Джубб П. (Вел)
07.06 08:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Илкли (Великобритания) - квалификация, трава
Lajal M 2:1 Матусевич А. (Вел)Матусевич А. (Вел)
05.06 11:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Birmingham (Великобритания), трава
Lajal M 0:2 Юнчаокете Б. (Кит)Юнчаокете Б. (Кит)
02.06 07:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Birmingham (Великобритания), трава
Lajal M 2:0 Риеди Л. (Шва)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Svajda T. 🇺🇸
L
26.05 19:40 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Little Rock (США), хард
Svajda T. 🇺🇸 0:2 Смит К. (Сша)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage