Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳 - Kozlov S. 🇺🇸
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳 — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳): model 49% · market 58% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳 59.2%, win Kozlov S. 🇺🇸 40.8%. Model favourite — Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • (Сша) (теннис)
- • Чжоу Я (Кит): форма ПВВПП (2-3)
- • Козлов С
- • (Сша): форма ПВВВ (3-1)
- • линия на пик П1 1.50→1.53 (удлинилась — рынок дрейфует против)
- • Модель ставит на Чжоу Я (Кит): вероятность 59% против 66% по линии (кэф 1.52)
- ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-6 пп) — прогноз информационный.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳 - Kozlov S. 🇺🇸 14 июля 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.20
- Glicko: Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳 59.2% / Kozlov S. 🇺🇸 40.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total games | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 65% | 35% | 2:0 | ТМ 22.5 | Победитель Чжоу Я (И) со счетом 2:0 |
| Claude | 61% | 39% | 2:0 | ТБ 21.5 | П1 Чжоу за 1.54 |
| Qwen | 65% | 35% | 2:1 | ТБ 22.5 | Победа Чжоу Я |
| Kimi | 58% | 42% | 2:1 | ТБ 22.5 | П1 (Чжоу И) |
| GLM 5.2 | 66% | 34% | 2:0 | ТМ 22.5 | П1 (победа Чжоу Я) |
Chzhou Ya 🇨🇳 - Kozlov S. 🇺🇸
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -0.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| П1 -1.5 | — | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -3.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% |
| П1 -4.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.97 50.8% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.76 56.8% | — |
| П2 -0.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 20.5 | — | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 21.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 22.5 | 1.97 50.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТБ 23.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 24.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТМ 20.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТМ 21.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТМ 22.5 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТМ 23.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| ТМ 24.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.54 64.9% |
| П2 | 2.35 42.6% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.33 42.9% |
Ву Йибин (Кит)
Full head-to-head historyChzhou Ya 🇨🇳 - Kozlov S. 🇺🇸