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Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
13.07.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

Hercog P - Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay clay 13.07.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
13.07.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
Hercog P
Hercog P
Y
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮
2:1
Odds
P1 1.35 91.2% BetBoom
P2 14.00 8.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hercog P — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hercog P): model 48% · market 93% Δ −45 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hercog P ✓ Прогноз68.6%
market93%
2 · Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮31.4%
market7%

Model estimate: win Hercog P 68.6%, win Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 31.4%. Model favourite — Hercog P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hercog P - Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 13 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hercog P.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hercog P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Hercog P 68.6% / Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 31.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.33 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 3.05 ↑ 14.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 13.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 4 matches
Match center

Hercog P - Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hercog P 70.9% 68.6% market and model agree
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 29.1% 31.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 68.6% / 31.4% probabilities
Rating 1,322 / 1,717 Hercog P / Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮
RD 299 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 723-1,920 / 1,330-2,104 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 31.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 68.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 5.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 — — 1.10 90.9%
П1 -1.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
П1 -2.5 — — 3.95 25.3%
П1 -4.5 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
П2 +2.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
П2 +4.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
П2 -0.5 — — 5.50 18.2%
П2 -1.5 — — 10.00 10.0%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.20 83.3%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
П2 -4.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
П2 -5.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
П2 -6.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
П2 -7.5 — — 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 16.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 17.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 18.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 19.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 21.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 22.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 23.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 24.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 25.5 — — 1.20 83.3%
ТМ 19.5 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% —
ТМ 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 1.35 74.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.01 99.0%
П2 3.00 33.3% 3.40 29.4% 14.00 7.1%
Match center
Hercog P
L
18.05 11:15 UTC+0 WTA - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Рабат (Марокко), грунт
Hercog P 0:2 Бондарь А. (Вен)Бондарь А. (Вен)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮
W L W L W
12.07 11:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Kitzbuhel (Австрия) - квалификация, грунт
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 2:0 Рувруа М. (Фра)
10.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 0:2 Sobolieva A. (Укр)
09.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 2:0 Астахова Д. (Мир)Астахова Д. (Мир)
02.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen (Германия), грунт
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 0:2 Карле М. Л. (Арг)
01.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen (Германия), грунт
Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮 2:0 Зайбольд Э. (Гер)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage