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Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
14.07.2026 11:30 MSK Match prediction

Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 - Samson L. 🇨🇿

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay clay 14.07.2026 11:30 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 11:30 MSK Finished
P
Pigossi L. 🇧🇷
Samson L. 🇨🇿
Samson L. 🇨🇿
1:2
Odds
P1 4.00 23.2% BetBoom
P2 1.21 76.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Samson L. 🇨🇿 — 74%

Pure model vs market (2 · Samson L. 🇨🇿): model 51% · market 88% Δ −37 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Pigossi L. 🇧🇷25.8%
market12%
2 · Samson L. 🇨🇿 ✓ Прогноз74.2%
market88%

Model estimate: win Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 25.8%, win Samson L. 🇨🇿 74.2%. Model favourite — Samson L. 🇨🇿.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 - Samson L. 🇨🇿 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Samson L. 🇨🇿.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samson L. 🇨🇿. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.80 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 25.8% / Samson L. 🇨🇿 74.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 11.9%
2 ✓ Прогноз 88.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pigossi L. 🇧🇷
4-6LLWWLWWLLL
scored 0.9conceded 1.5
Samson L. 🇨🇿
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 11:30 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 - Samson L. 🇨🇿

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 23.2% 25.8%
Samson L. 🇨🇿 76.8% 74.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 25.8% / 74.2% probabilities
Rating 1,287 / 1,399 Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 / Samson L. 🇨🇿
RD 266 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 754-1,819 / 984-1,813 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 74.2%
1 7.80 Fonbet · no value · model 25.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +4.5 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% —
П1 +5.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
П2 +1.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
П2 +2.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
П2 +3.5 — — 3.30 30.3%
П2 +4.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
П2 -0.5 — — 1.05 95.2%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.16 86.2%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
П2 -3.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
П2 -4.5 1.78 56.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.40 71.4%
П2 -5.5 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 17.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 18.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 19.5 1.78 56.2% 1.92 52.1% 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 21.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 22.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 23.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 25.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 26.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 27.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 28.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 29.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 30.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
ТМ 19.5 1.95 51.3% 1.79 55.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 7.80 12.8% 3.90 25.6%
П2 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Pigossi L. 🇧🇷
L L
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Contrexeville (Франция), грунт
Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 0:2 Карле М. Л. (Арг)
19.05 11:00 UTC+0 WTA - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Pigossi L. 🇧🇷 0:2 Лью К. (Сша)Лью К. (Сша)
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Samson L. 🇨🇿
L W L L
14.06 16:35 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Modena (Италия), грунт
Samson L. 🇨🇿 0:2 Бронцетти Л. (Ита)Бронцетти Л. (Ита)
13.06 16:15 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Modena (Италия), грунт
Samson L. 🇨🇿 2:1 Кеведо К. (Исп)Кеведо К. (Исп)
03.06 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Makarska (Хорватия), грунт
Samson L. 🇨🇿 0:2 Лазаро Гарсия А. (Исп)
19.05 06:00 UTC+0 WTA - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Samson L. 🇨🇿 1:2 Риера Ю. (Арг)Риера Ю. (Арг)
1 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
25% Win percentage