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Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
14.07.2026 15:00 MSK Match prediction

Kostovic T - Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay clay 14.07.2026 15:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 15:00 MSK Finished
K
Kostovic T
R
Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹
2:0
Odds
P1 1.36 72.0% BetBoom
P2 3.50 28.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kostovic T — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kostovic T): model 50% · market 72% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kostovic T ✓ Прогноз68.9%
market72%
2 · Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹31.1%
market28%

Model estimate: win Kostovic T 68.9%, win Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹 31.1%. Model favourite — Kostovic T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kostovic T (odds1.36) confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kostovic T - Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kostovic T.

Line favourite market consensus: Kostovic T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / 2 3.50
  • Glicko: Kostovic T 68.9% / Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹 31.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 2.1%
1 ✓ Прогноз 72.0%
2 28.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kostovic T

no data

Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹
4-6LWWWLLLLLW
scored 0.9conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 15:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 4 matches
Match center

Kostovic T - Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kostovic T 71.0% 68.9% market and model agree
Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹 29.0% 31.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 68.9% / 31.1% probabilities
Rating 1,677 / 1,613 Kostovic T / Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹
RD 170 / 293 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,337-2,017 / 1,027-2,198 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 market consensus · no value · model 31.1%
1 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 68.9%
Total
Over 20 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
П1 -4 1.79 55.9%
П1 -4.5 1.79 55.9%
П2 +4 1.88 53.2%
П2 +4.5 1.88 53.2%

Total

Outcome Leon
ТБ 20 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 20 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 20.5 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Betfair Leon
П1 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.29 77.5%
П2 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.15 31.8%
Match center
Kostovic T
L W W W L
11.07 13:30 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Kostovic T 0:2 Горгодзе Е. (Гру)
10.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Kostovic T 2:0 Зиданшек Т. (Слн)
09.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Kostovic T 2:1 Нимайер Ю. (Гер)
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Kostovic T 2:0 Brockmann T. J. (Гер)
20.05 07:30 UTC+0 WTA - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Kostovic T 1:2 Кеведо К. (Исп)Кеведо К. (Исп)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹
W
14.06 06:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Brescia (Италия) - квалификация, грунт
Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹 2:1 Kotliar Y. (Укр)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage