PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard
14.07.2026 16:40 UTC Match prediction

Grene U. 🇫🇷 - Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard hard 14.07.2026 16:40 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 16:40 UTC Finished
Grene U. 🇫🇷
Grene U. 🇫🇷
V
Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷
2:0
Odds
P1 1.35 69.7% BetBoom
P2 3.10 30.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Grene U. 🇫🇷 — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Grene U. 🇫🇷): model 49% · market 69% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Grene U. 🇫🇷 ✓ Прогноз67.6%
market69%
2 · Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷32.4%
market31%

Model estimate: win Grene U. 🇫🇷 67.6%, win Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷 32.4%. Model favourite — Grene U. 🇫🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Grene U. 🇫🇷 (odds1.33) Score 2:1 confidence 68% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Гренье У
  • • (Фра) — Вандермерш С
  • • (Фра) (теннис)
  • • Гренье У
  • • (Фра): форма ПВППП (1-4)
  • • Вандермерш С
  • • (Фра): форма П (0-1)
  • • линия на пик П1 1.45→1.35 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
  • • Модель ставит на Гренье У
  • • (Фра): вероятность 68% против 75% по линии (кэф 1.33)
  • ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-7 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Grene U. 🇫🇷 - Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Grene U. 🇫🇷.

Line favourite Fonbet: Grene U. 🇫🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95
  • Glicko: Grene U. 🇫🇷 67.6% / Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷 32.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 68.6%
2 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.45 ↓ 1.35
Победитель П2 2.55 ↑ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Grene U. 🇫🇷
3-7WLWWLLLLLL
scored 0.6conceded 1.6
Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 16:40 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Grene U. 🇫🇷 - Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Grene U. 🇫🇷 69.6% 67.6% market and model agree
Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷 30.4% 32.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 67.6% / 32.4% probabilities
Rating 1,214 / 1,322 Grene U. 🇫🇷 / Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷
RD 202 / 299 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 810-1,618 / 725-1,919 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 32.4%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 67.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 -0.5 — 1.50 66.7% —
П1 -1.5 — 1.43 69.9% —
П1 -2.5 — 1.55 64.5% 1.76 56.8%
П1 -3.5 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%
П1 -4.5 — 2.15 46.5% —
П2 +2.5 — — 1.99 50.3%
П2 +3.5 2.00 50.0% — 2.04 49.0%
П2 -0.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
П2 -1.5 — 2.60 38.5% —
П2 -2.5 — 2.30 43.5% —
П2 -3.5 — 1.95 51.3% —
П2 -4.5 — 1.62 61.7% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
ТБ 20.5 — 1.65 60.6% —
ТБ 21.5 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.89 52.9%
ТБ 22.5 1.96 51.0% 2.10 47.6% —
ТБ 23.5 — 2.30 43.5% —
ТБ 24.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
ТМ 20.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
ТМ 21.5 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 22.5 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6% —
ТМ 23.5 — 1.55 64.5% —
ТМ 24.5 — 1.50 66.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%
П2 3.10 32.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.05 32.8%
Match center
Grene U. 🇫🇷
L W L L L
03.07 16:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Ajaccio +H (Франция), хард
Grene U. 🇫🇷 0:2 Иншосп П. (Фра)
30.06 17:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Ajaccio +H (Франция), хард
Grene U. 🇫🇷 2:1 Berard T. (Фра)
13.06 13:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Ноттингем (Великобритания) - квалификация, трава
Grene U. 🇫🇷 0:2 Okonkwo O. (Вел)
08.06 13:15 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Lyon (Франция), грунт
Grene U. 🇫🇷 0:2 ван Аш Л. (Фра)ван Аш Л. (Фра)
18.05 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Grene U. 🇫🇷 0:2 Харрис Л. (Юар)
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.4 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷
L
21.05 04:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Kutaisi 2 (Грузия), хард
Vandermersh S. 🇫🇷 0:2 Edengren K. (Шве)Edengren K. (Шве)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage