Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
05.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy) - Qualifying, clay

Villanueva G - Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰

Tennis
V
Villanueva G
2 : 1
Finished
K
Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villanueva G - Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰 5 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 36.3%
2 63.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Villanueva G
7-3LWWLWWWWLW
scored 1.4conceded 1.1
Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰
5-5LWWWLWWLLL
scored 1.2conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Form and head-to-head • Trieste

Team stats

Villanueva G
WLWWLWWWWL
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 1
Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰
LWWWLWWLLL
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.9

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Виллануэва Г.
Fresh
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
  • Sets in 7 days: 0
  • Rest: 9 days
Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰
No matches in 3 weeks

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Villanueva G - Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.92 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
П1 +0.5 2.55 39.2%
П1 +1.5 1.93 51.8%
П1 -0.5 2.02 49.5%
П1 -1.5 1.45 69.0%
П1 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П1 -3.5 2.45 40.8%
П1 0 1.79 55.9%
П2 +0.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 +1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +2.5 3.35 29.9%
П2 +3.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 +4.5 1.25 80.0%
П2 +5.5 2.90 34.5%
П2 -0.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -1.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 -2.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -3.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 0 1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 20.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 21.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 23.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 24.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 25.5 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 26.5 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 27.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 28.5 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 30.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 31.5 3.45 29.0%
ТБ 32.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 33.5 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 35.5 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 20.5 2.25 44.4%
ТМ 21.5 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 22.5 1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 2.55 39.2% 1.87 53.5%
П2 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.84 54.4%