PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard
15.07.2026 14:00 MSK Match prediction

Rocha F - Farzam M. 🇺🇸

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard hard 15.07.2026 14:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 14:00 MSK Finished
R
Rocha F
F
Farzam M. 🇺🇸
2:1
Odds
P1 1.49 63.6% BetBoom
P2 2.60 36.4% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rocha F — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rocha F): model 52% · market 64% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rocha F ✓ Прогноз61.3%
market64%
2 · Farzam M. 🇺🇸38.7%
market36%

Model estimate: win Rocha F 61.3%, win Farzam M. 🇺🇸 38.7%. Model favourite — Rocha F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rocha F (odds1.49) confidence 56% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rocha F - Farzam M. 🇺🇸 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rocha F.

Line favourite market consensus: Rocha F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / 2 2.60
  • Glicko: Rocha F 61.3% / Farzam M. 🇺🇸 38.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 ✓ Прогноз 63.6%
2 36.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Rocha F

no data

Farzam M. 🇺🇸
5-5WLWLWLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 14:00 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 2 matches
Match center

Rocha F - Farzam M. 🇺🇸

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rocha F 62.4% 61.3% market and model agree
Farzam M. 🇺🇸 37.6% 38.7%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.3% / 38.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,149 Rocha F / Farzam M. 🇺🇸
RD 350 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 652-1,646 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.49 market consensus · no value · model 38.7%
1 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 61.3%
Total
Over 21.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 -2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.76 56.8%
П1 -3.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
П2 +2.5 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2%
П2 +3.5 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 21.5 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 21.5 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.49 67.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.46 68.5%
П2 2.45 40.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.42 41.3%
Match center
Rocha F
L L
05.07 17:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Newport (США) - квалификация, трава
Rocha F 0:2 Matsuoka H. (Япо)Matsuoka H. (Япо)
12.06 16:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Wichita, KS (США), хард
Rocha F 0:2 Miyoshi K. (Япо)
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Farzam M. 🇺🇸
L L
05.07 17:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Newport (США) - квалификация, трава
Farzam M. 🇺🇸 0:2 Matsuoka H. (Япо)Matsuoka H. (Япо)
12.06 16:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Wichita, KS (США), хард
Farzam M. 🇺🇸 0:2 Miyoshi K. (Япо)
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage