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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
15.07.2026 12:30 MSK Match prediction

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Homberg M. 🇩🇪

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay clay 15.07.2026 12:30 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 12:30 MSK Finished
B
Buldorini P. 🇮🇪
H
Homberg M. 🇩🇪
1:2
Odds
P1 3.00 31.8% BetBoom
P2 1.40 68.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Homberg M. 🇩🇪 — 65%

Pure model vs market (2 · Homberg M. 🇩🇪): model 50% · market 68% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Buldorini P. 🇮🇪35.0%
market32%
2 · Homberg M. 🇩🇪 ✓ Прогноз65.0%
market68%

Model estimate: win Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 35.0%, win Homberg M. 🇩🇪 65.0%. Model favourite — Homberg M. 🇩🇪.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Homberg M. 🇩🇪 (odds1.40) confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Homberg M. 🇩🇪 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Homberg M. 🇩🇪.

Line favourite market consensus: Homberg M. 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / 2 1.40
  • Glicko: Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 35.0% / Homberg M. 🇩🇪 65.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 31.8%
2 ✓ Прогноз 68.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 12:30 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 3 matches
Match center

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Homberg M. 🇩🇪

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 33.4% 35.0%
Homberg M. 🇩🇪 66.6% 65.0% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 35.0% / 65.0% probabilities
Rating 1,275 / 1,301 Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 / Homberg M. 🇩🇪
RD 266 / 282 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 742-1,808 / 736-1,866 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 65.0%
1 2.81 market consensus · no value · model 35.0%
Total
Over 20.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +3.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
П2 -3.5 1.79 55.9% 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 20.5 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Leon
П1 2.73 36.6% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.74 36.5%
П2 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Buldorini P. 🇮🇪
L L
01.06 07:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Centurion 2 (Южная Африка) - квалификация, хард
Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 0:2 Dalmasso G. (Фра)Dalmasso G. (Фра)
24.05 07:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Centurion (Южная Африка) - квалификация, хард
Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 0:2 Браун П. (Сша)
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Homberg M. 🇩🇪
L
30.05 06:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kranjska Gora (Словения), грунт
Homberg M. 🇩🇪 0:2 Султанов Х. (Узб)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage