PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
14.07.2026 20:00 MSK Match prediction

Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 - Basile P. 🇮🇹

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay clay 14.07.2026 20:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 20:00 MSK Finished
Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹
Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹
Basile P. 🇮🇹
Basile P. 🇮🇹
1:2
Odds
P1 3.75 25.2% BetBoom
P2 1.26 74.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Basile P. 🇮🇹 — 72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Basile P. 🇮🇹): model 50% · market 75% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹28.3%
market25%
2 · Basile P. 🇮🇹 ✓ Прогноз71.7%
market75%

Model estimate: win Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 28.3%, win Basile P. 🇮🇹 71.7%. Model favourite — Basile P. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Basile P. 🇮🇹 (odds1.23) Score 0:2 confidence 72% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Vulpitta G
  • • (Ита) — Basile P
  • • (Ита) (теннис)
  • • Vulpitta G
  • • (Ита): форма ПВ (1-1)
  • • Basile P
  • • (Ита): форма ПВВПП (2-3)
  • • Модель ставит на Basile P
  • • (Ита): вероятность 72% против 82% по линии (кэф 1.23)
  • ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-10 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 - Basile P. 🇮🇹 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Basile P. 🇮🇹.

Line favourite market consensus: Basile P. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / 2 1.25
  • Glicko: Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 28.3% / Basile P. 🇮🇹 71.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 24.8%
2 ✓ Прогноз 75.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹

no data

Basile P. 🇮🇹
5-5WLLLWWLLWW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 - Basile P. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 25.9% 28.3%
Basile P. 🇮🇹 74.1% 71.7% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 28.3% / 71.7% probabilities
Rating 1,582 / 1,599 Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 / Basile P. 🇮🇹
RD 244 / 155 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,093-2,071 / 1,290-1,909 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 71.7%
1 3.74 market consensus · no value · model 28.3%
Total
Over 20.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
П1 +4.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -4.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 20.5 1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Leon
П1 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.68 27.2%
П2 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹
L W
09.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Bastia-Lucciana +H (Франция), грунт
Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 0:2 Rolland de Ravel C. (Фра)
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Bastia-Lucciana +H (Франция), грунт
Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹 2:0 Toffanin N. (Ита)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Basile P. 🇮🇹
L W W L L
03.07 07:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Милан (Италия), грунт
Basile P. 🇮🇹 0:2 Чеккинато М. (Ита)
02.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Милан (Италия), грунт
Basile P. 🇮🇹 2:0 Moller E. (Дан)Moller E. (Дан)
30.06 12:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Милан (Италия), грунт
Basile P. 🇮🇹 2:1 Рока Баталья О. (Исп)
08.06 10:35 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия), грунт
Basile P. 🇮🇹 0:2 Бранкаччио Р. (Ита)Бранкаччио Р. (Ита)
06.06 16:35 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Perugia (Италия), грунт
Basile P. 🇮🇹 0:2 Пеллегрино А. (Ита)Пеллегрино А. (Ита)
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage