ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rancho Santa Fe, CA 🇺🇸, hard
Sakagawa H. 🇯🇵 - van Loben Sels E. 🇺🇸
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sakagawa H. 🇯🇵 - van Loben Sels E. 🇺🇸 9 июля 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.20 / 2 1.30
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Sakagawa H. 🇯🇵 - van Loben Sels E. 🇺🇸
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +3.5 | 1.96 51.0% | 1.93 51.8% |
| П1 +4.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.69 59.2% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -4.5 | 2.02 49.5% | 1.96 51.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 20.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.76 56.8% |
| ТБ 21.5 | 1.96 51.0% | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТМ 20.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТМ 21.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.74 57.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.20 31.3% | 3.12 32.1% |
| П2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% |
Full head-to-head historySakagawa H. 🇯🇵 - van Loben Sels E. 🇺🇸