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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Wuning 6 (China), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Wuning 6 (China), hard
15.07.2026 12:30 MSK Match prediction

Minakata R. 🇯🇵 - Tomida Y

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Wuning 6 (China), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Wuning 6 (China), hard hard 15.07.2026 12:30 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 12:30 MSK Finished
M
Minakata R. 🇯🇵
T
Tomida Y
1:2
Odds
P1 4.00 23.8% BetBoom
P2 1.25 76.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tomida Y — 73%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tomida Y): model 53% · market 76% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Minakata R. 🇯🇵26.7%
market24%
2 · Tomida Y ✓ Прогноз73.3%
market76%

Model estimate: win Minakata R. 🇯🇵 26.7%, win Tomida Y 73.3%. Model favourite — Tomida Y.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tomida Y (odds1.25) confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minakata R. 🇯🇵 - Tomida Y 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tomida Y.

Line favourite market consensus: Tomida Y. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.00 / 2 1.25
  • Glicko: Minakata R. 🇯🇵 26.7% / Tomida Y 73.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 23.8%
2 ✓ Прогноз 76.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 12:30 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Minakata R. 🇯🇵 - Tomida Y

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Minakata R. 🇯🇵 24.4% 26.7%
Tomida Y 75.6% 73.3% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 26.7% / 73.3% probabilities
Rating 1,267 / 1,668 Minakata R. 🇯🇵 / Tomida Y
RD 263 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 742-1,792 / 1,333-2,002 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%
1 3.78 market consensus · no value · model 26.7%
Total
Over 19.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 19.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +5.5 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2%
П2 -5.5 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 19.5 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
ТМ 19.5 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Leon
П1 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
П2 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Minakata R. 🇯🇵
L L
03.06 01:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Harmon (Гуам), хард
Minakata R. 🇯🇵 1:2 Kleiman M. (Сша)
25.05 23:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Karuizawa (Япония), грунт
Minakata R. 🇯🇵 0:2 Ямасаки Д. (Япо)
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.5 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Tomida Y
L W L W W
09.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Wuning 5 (Китай), хард
Tomida Y 0:2 Нордквист А. (Шве)
08.07 01:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Wuning 5 (Китай), хард
Tomida Y 2:0 Ломакин Г. (Каз)Ломакин Г. (Каз)
02.07 01:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Wuning 4 (Китай), хард
Tomida Y 0:2 Фергюсон Ч. (Авс)
01.07 02:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Wuning 4 (Китай), хард
Tomida Y 2:0 Chen X. D. (Кит)
27.05 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Karuizawa (Япония), грунт
Tomida Y 2:0 KATSUDA T. (Япо)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage