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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
14.07.2026 03:30 MSK Match prediction

Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 - Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard hard 14.07.2026 03:30 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 03:30 MSK Finished
D
Dzhons G. 🇦🇺
Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺
Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺
0:2
Odds
P1 9.00 12.6% BetBoom
P2 1.30 87.4% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 — 73%

Pure model vs market (2 · Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺): model 48% · market 90% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dzhons G. 🇦🇺27.1%
market10%
2 · Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 ✓ Прогноз72.9%
market90%

Model estimate: win Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 27.1%, win Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 72.9%. Model favourite — Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 - Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 27.1% / Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 72.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 10.3%
2 ✓ Прогноз 89.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 3.80 ↑ 9.00
Победитель П2 1.20 ↓ 1.03

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dzhons G. 🇦🇺

no data

Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺
5-5LWWLWWLLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 03:30 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 - Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 24.3% 27.1%
Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 75.7% 72.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 27.1% / 72.9% probabilities
Rating 1,855 / 1,397 Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 / Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺
RD 279 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,297-2,414 / 959-1,834 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 72.9%
1 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 27.1%
Total
Over 17.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 +3.5 — — 2.06 48.5%
П1 +4.5 1.71 58.5% 2.30 43.5% 1.64 61.0%
П1 +5.5 — 2.75 36.4% —
П1 +6.5 — 1.40 71.4% —
П1 +7.5 — 1.50 66.7% —
П2 +4.5 — 1.55 64.5% —
П2 +5.5 — 1.40 71.4% —
П2 +6.5 — 2.80 35.7% —
П2 +7.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
П2 -3.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
П2 -4.5 2.02 49.5% — 2.04 49.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
ТБ 17.5 — 1.82 55.0% —
ТБ 18.5 — 1.83 54.6% —
ТБ 19.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
ТБ 20.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
ТБ 21.5 1.84 54.4% 3.20 31.3% 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 22.5 — 2.00 50.0% —
ТМ 17.5 — 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 18.5 — 1.87 53.5% —
ТМ 19.5 — 1.65 60.6% —
ТМ 20.5 — 1.48 67.6% —
ТМ 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 22.5 — 1.73 57.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 3.90 25.6% 3.20 31.3% 9.00 11.1% 3.65 27.4%
П2 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.03 97.1% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Dzhons G. 🇦🇺
W
09.06 23:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo (Япония), хард
Dzhons G. 🇦🇺 2:0 Koyama H. (Япо)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺
L W L
02.07 12:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Кэри (США), хард
Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 0:2 Baris O. (Сша)
30.06 19:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Кэри (США), хард
Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 2:1 Секулич Ф. (Авс)
04.06 16:35 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Tyler (США), хард
Ellis Bl. 🇦🇺 1:2 Martin A. (Сша)Martin A. (Сша)
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.7 Sets lost
33% Win percentage