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World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain
16.07.2026 09:00 MSK Match prediction

Alvarez Sarmiento M L - Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain clay 16.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
16.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
A
Alvarez Sarmiento M L
B
Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸
0:2
Odds
P1 7.90 11.7% BetBoom
P2 1.05 88.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 — 84%

Pure model vs market (2 · Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸): model 50% · market 88% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Alvarez Sarmiento M L15.7%
market12%
2 · Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 ✓ Прогноз84.3%
market88%

Model estimate: win Alvarez Sarmiento M L 15.7%, win Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 84.3%. Model favourite — Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 (odds1.05) confidence 71% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alvarez Sarmiento M L - Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 16 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸.

Line favourite market consensus: Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 7.90 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: Alvarez Sarmiento M L 15.7% / Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 84.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 11.7%
2 ✓ Прогноз 88.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 16.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 2 matches
Match center

Alvarez Sarmiento M L - Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 11.9% 15.7%
Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 88.1% 84.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 15.7% / 84.3% probabilities
Rating 1,463 / 1,500 Alvarez Sarmiento M L / Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸
RD 249 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 966-1,960 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 84.3%
1 7.70 market consensus · no value · model 15.7%
Total
Over 17.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 17.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +6.5 1.96 51.0% 1.86 53.8%
П2 -6.5 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 17.5 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%
ТМ 17.5 1.96 51.0% 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 7.80 12.8% 7.90 12.7% 7.40 13.5%
П2 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Alvarez Sarmiento M L
L W
02.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 0:2 Gutierrez O. J. (Исп)
01.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 2:0 Garcia Paez L. (Исп)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸
L W
02.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 0:2 Gutierrez O. J. (Исп)
01.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸 2:0 Garcia Paez L. (Исп)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage