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World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain
15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Match prediction

Chepelev A - Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain clay 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
Chepelev A
Chepelev A
A
Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸
2:1
Odds
P1 1.01 91.6% BetBoom
P2 11.00 8.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chepelev A — 53%

1 · Chepelev A53.1%
2 · Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸46.9%

Model estimate: win Chepelev A 53.1%, win Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸 46.9%. Model favourite — Chepelev A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chepelev A (odds1.01) confidence 72% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chepelev A - Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chepelev A.

Line favourite market consensus: Chepelev A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Chepelev A 53.1% / Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸 46.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Chepelev A
7-3WWWWWLWWLL
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Chepelev A - Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chepelev A 91.6% 53.1% market and model agree
Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸 8.4% 46.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.1% / 46.9% probabilities
Rating 1,802 / 1,285 Chepelev A / Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸
RD 192 / 245 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,418-2,185 / 794-1,775 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 53.1%
Total
Over 16.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 16.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
П1 -7.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +7.5 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity
ТБ 16.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 16.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet
П1 1.01 99.0%
П2 11.00 9.1%
Match center
Chepelev A
W W W W W
05.07 09:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брауншвейг (Германия) - квалификация, грунт
Chepelev A 2:1 Евсеев Д. (Каз)
05.07 09:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брауншвейг (Германия) - квалификация, грунт
Chepelev A 2:0 Шперле Дж. (Гер)
14.06 10:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Kiseljak (Босния и Герцеговина), грунт
Chepelev A 2:0 Перес К.-С. (Исп)
13.06 12:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Kiseljak (Босния и Герцеговина), грунт
Chepelev A 2:0 Шарипов М. (Мир)Шарипов М. (Мир)
13.06 06:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Kiseljak (Босния и Герцеговина), грунт
Chepelev A 2:0 Демин Я. (Мир)
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.2 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸
L L
09.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 8 (Сербия), грунт
Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸 0:2 Arzhankin A. (Мир)
01.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Arce Fernandez M. 🇪🇸 0:2 Зелиньски М. (Пол)
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage