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World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain
14.07.2026 09:00 MSK Match prediction

Edengren K. 🇸🇪 - Martinez Gomez P

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain clay 14.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
Edengren K. 🇸🇪
Edengren K. 🇸🇪
M
Martinez Gomez P
1:2
Odds
P1 9.00 11.8% BetBoom
P2 1.20 88.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Martinez Gomez P — 76%

Pure model vs market (2 · Martinez Gomez P): model 53% · market 90% Δ −37 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Edengren K. 🇸🇪23.8%
market10%
2 · Martinez Gomez P ✓ Прогноз76.2%
market90%

Model estimate: win Edengren K. 🇸🇪 23.8%, win Martinez Gomez P 76.2%. Model favourite — Martinez Gomez P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Edengren K. 🇸🇪 - Martinez Gomez P 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Martinez Gomez P.

Line favourite Fonbet: Martinez Gomez P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Edengren K. 🇸🇪 23.8% / Martinez Gomez P 76.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 10.3%
2 ✓ Прогноз 89.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 3.90 ↑ 9.00
Победитель П2 1.20 ↓ 1.03

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Edengren K. 🇸🇪 - Martinez Gomez P

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Edengren K. 🇸🇪 21.3% 23.8%
Martinez Gomez P 78.7% 76.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 23.8% / 76.2% probabilities
Rating 1,553 / 1,823 Edengren K. 🇸🇪 / Martinez Gomez P
RD 241 / 231 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,072-2,035 / 1,362-2,285 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 76.2%
1 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 23.8%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
П1 +0.5 — 1.60 62.5%
П1 +1.5 — 1.83 54.6%
П1 +3.5 — 2.35 42.6%
П1 +4.5 2.07 48.3% 4.40 22.7%
П1 +5.5 — 1.45 69.0%
П1 +6.5 — 1.60 62.5%
П1 +7.5 — 1.55 64.5%
П1 +8.5 — 2.25 44.4%
П2 +0.5 — 2.20 45.5%
П2 +1.5 — 1.87 53.5%
П2 +3.5 — 1.55 64.5%
П2 +4.5 — 1.16 86.2%
П2 +5.5 — 2.55 39.2%
П2 +6.5 — 2.20 45.5%
П2 +7.5 — 2.30 43.5%
П2 +8.5 — 1.58 63.3%
П2 -4.5 1.67 59.9% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 15.5 — 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 16.5 — 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 17.5 — 2.08 48.1%
ТБ 18.5 — 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 19.5 1.76 56.8% 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 20.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 23.5 — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 24.5 — 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 25.5 — 4.40 22.7%
ТБ 26.5 — 2.35 42.6%
ТМ 15.5 — 1.58 63.3%
ТМ 16.5 — 2.40 41.7%
ТМ 17.5 — 1.67 59.9%
ТМ 18.5 — 1.73 57.8%
ТМ 19.5 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 20.5 — 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Fonbet
П1 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.20 23.8% 9.00 11.1%
П2 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0% 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Edengren K. 🇸🇪
L W W
28.05 04:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kutaisi (Грузия), хард
Edengren K. 🇸🇪 0:2 Эрель Я. (Тур)
26.05 14:15 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kutaisi (Грузия), хард
Edengren K. 🇸🇪 2:0 Malirz K. (Пол)
21.05 04:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Kutaisi 2 (Грузия), хард
Edengren K. 🇸🇪 2:0 Вандермерш С. (Фра)
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Martinez Gomez P
W W W
14.06 07:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Martos (Испания), хард
Martinez Gomez P 2:0 Домингеш Ж. (Пор)
13.06 08:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Martos (Испания), хард
Martinez Gomez P 2:1 Perez Ramos P. (Исп)
10.06 16:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Martos (Испания), хард
Martinez Gomez P 2:0 Perez Navarro P. (Исп)
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage