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World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain
15.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 - Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain clay 15.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
L
Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸
T
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮
1:2
Odds
P1 1.47 63.9% BetBoom
P2 2.60 36.1% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸): model 49% · market 64% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 ✓ Прогноз61.5%
market64%
2 · Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮38.5%
market36%

Model estimate: win Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 61.5%, win Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 38.5%. Model favourite — Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 (odds1.47) confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 - Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸.

Line favourite market consensus: Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / 2 2.60
  • Glicko: Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 61.5% / Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 38.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 ✓ Прогноз 63.9%
2 36.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 3 matches
Match center

Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 - Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 63.0% 61.5% market and model agree
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 37.0% 38.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.5% / 38.5% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,746 Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 / Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮
RD 350 / 176 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,394-2,097 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 market consensus · no value · model 38.5%
1 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 61.5%
Total
Over 20.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 -2.5 1.79 55.9% —
П1 -3.5 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0%
П2 +2.5 1.92 52.1% —
П2 +3.5 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.47 68.0% 1.43 69.9% 1.47 68.0%
П2 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.39 41.8%
Match center
Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸
L W W
11.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Bucharest 2 (Румыния), грунт
Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 1:2 Papoe C. G. (Рум)
10.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Bucharest 2 (Румыния), грунт
Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 2:0 Mirarchi W. (Ита)
09.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Bucharest 2 (Румыния), грунт
Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸 2:0 Bladelius H. (Шве)
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮
L W W L W
11.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Bucharest 2 (Румыния), грунт
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 1:2 Papoe C. G. (Рум)
10.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Bucharest 2 (Румыния), грунт
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 2:0 Mirarchi W. (Ита)
09.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Bucharest 2 (Румыния), грунт
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 2:0 Bladelius H. (Шве)
03.07 09:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 0:2 Gutierrez O. J. (Исп)
02.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Talan Lopatic L. 🇸🇮 2:1 Miletich I. (Ита)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage