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World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain
14.07.2026 09:00 MSK Match prediction

Parisca I - Rodenas P. 🇪🇸

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Spain
World Tennis. Men. Spain clay 14.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
P
Parisca I
R
Rodenas P. 🇪🇸
2:0
Odds
P1 2.02 84.5% BetBoom
P2 11.00 15.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rodenas P. 🇪🇸 — 53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rodenas P. 🇪🇸): model 50% · market 8% Δ +42 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Parisca I46.6%
2 · Rodenas P. 🇪🇸53.4%

Model estimate: win Parisca I 46.6%, win Rodenas P. 🇪🇸 53.4%. Model favourite — Rodenas P. 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parisca I - Rodenas P. 🇪🇸 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parisca I.

Line favourite Fonbet: Parisca I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Parisca I 46.6% / Rodenas P. 🇪🇸 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.00 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 1.73 ↑ 11.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Parisca I
3-7LLLWLWLLLW
scored 0.7conceded 1.4
Rodenas P. 🇪🇸

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 4 matches
Match center

Parisca I - Rodenas P. 🇪🇸

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Parisca I 46.2% 46.6%
Rodenas P. 🇪🇸 53.8% 53.4% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.6% / 53.4% probabilities
Rating 1,745 / 1,768 Parisca I / Rodenas P. 🇪🇸
RD 247 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,251-2,239 / 1,272-2,264 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.71 market consensus · no value · model 53.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 46.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
П1 +0.5 — 1.80 55.6%
П1 +1.5 1.83 54.6% —
П1 -0.5 — 1.82 55.0%
П1 -1.5 — 1.90 52.6%
П1 -2.5 — 1.88 53.2%
П1 -3.5 — 1.65 60.6%
П1 -4.5 — 1.14 87.7%
П1 -5.5 — 2.08 48.1%
П2 +0.5 — 1.90 52.6%
П2 +1.5 — 1.85 54.1%
П2 +2.5 — 1.83 54.6%
П2 -0.5 — 1.88 53.2%
П2 -1.5 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6%
П2 -2.5 — 1.82 55.0%
П2 -3.5 — 2.10 47.6%
П2 -4.5 — 4.70 21.3%
П2 -5.5 — 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 18.5 — 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 19.5 — 4.60 21.7%
ТБ 20.5 1.80 55.6% 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 21.5 — 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 22.5 — 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 23.5 — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 25.5 — 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 26.5 — 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 18.5 — 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 19.5 — 1.14 87.7%
ТМ 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.73 57.8%
ТМ 21.5 — 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 22.5 — 1.82 55.0%
ТМ 23.5 — 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 25.5 — 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 26.5 — 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Fonbet
П1 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.01 99.0%
П2 1.72 58.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 11.00 9.1%
Match center
Parisca I
W W
03.07 14:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Parisca I 2:1 Fita Juan S. (Исп)
14.06 21:05 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Asuncion 2 (Парагвай) - квалификация, грунт
Parisca I 2:0 Hayen A. (Мек)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Rodenas P. 🇪🇸
W W
02.07 14:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Rodenas P. 🇪🇸 2:1 Циципас П. (Грц)
01.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Getxo (Испания), грунт
Rodenas P. 🇪🇸 2:0 Dando J. (Фра)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage