Nong X. 🇨🇳 - Wang JiaYi
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Wang JiaYi — 80%
Pure model vs market (2 · Wang JiaYi): model 52% · market 83% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Nong X. 🇨🇳 20.3%, win Wang JiaYi 79.7%. Model favourite — Wang JiaYi.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nong X. 🇨🇳 - Wang JiaYi 14 июля 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wang JiaYi.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 5.60 / 2 1.11
- Glicko: Nong X. 🇨🇳 20.3% / Wang JiaYi 79.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Nong X. 🇨🇳 - Wang JiaYi
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 +6.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
| П2 -6.5 | 2.01 49.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 18.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 18.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| П1 | 5.60 17.9% | 5.10 19.6% |
| П2 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% |
Full head-to-head historyNong X. 🇨🇳 - Wang JiaYi