ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard

Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 - Kalyakina M. (World)

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard hard 14.07.2026 03:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 03:00 MSK Finished
S
Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷
K
Kalyakina M. (World)
0:2
Odds
P1 11.00 8.8% BetBoom
P2 1.06 91.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kalyakina M. (World)84%

Pure model vs market (2 · Kalyakina M. (World)): model 51% · market 92% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷15.7%
market8%
2 · Kalyakina M. (World) ✓ Прогноз84.3%
market92%

Model estimate: win Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 15.7%, win Kalyakina M. (World) 84.3%. Model favourite — Kalyakina M. (World).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 - Kalyakina M. (World) 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kalyakina M. (World).

Line favourite Fonbet: Kalyakina M. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 15.7% / Kalyakina M. (World) 84.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 ✓ Прогноз 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 6.90 ↑ 11.00
Победитель П2 1.04 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 03:00 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 - Kalyakina M. (World)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 12.1% 15.7%
Kalyakina M. (World) 87.9% 84.3% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 15.7% / 84.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,717 Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 / Kalyakina M. (World)
RD 350 / 154 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,410-2,024 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 84.3%
1 7.57 market consensus · no value · model 15.7%
Total
Over 17.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Under 17.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
П1 +6.5 1.98 50.5%
П1 +7.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 +7.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -6.5 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
ТБ 17.5 2.02 49.5% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 17.5 1.70 58.8% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 7.80 12.8% 7.40 13.5% 11.00 9.1% 7.50 13.3%
П2 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷
L W W
11.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 1:2 Tikhonova A. (Мир)
10.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 2:0 Sun Y. (Кит)
09.07 00:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Shin Dzh. 🇰🇷 2:0 RuoXi M. (Кит)
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Kalyakina M. (World)
L W W W L
11.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Kalyakina M. (World) 1:2 Tikhonova A. (Мир)
10.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Kalyakina M. (World) 2:0 Sun Y. (Кит)
09.07 00:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Kalyakina M. (World) 2:0 RuoXi M. (Кит)
08.07 01:30 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Kalyakina M. (World) 2:0 Gureva A. (Мир)
03.07 01:30 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Maanshan 4 (Китай), хард
Kalyakina M. (World) 0:2 Юань Ч. (Кит)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage