PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard
15.07.2026 11:30 MSK Match prediction

Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 - Tikhonova Alina

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Luan 5 (China), hard hard 15.07.2026 11:30 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 11:30 MSK Finished
Y
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳
T
Tikhonova Alina
0:2
Odds
P1 2.80 33.3% BetBoom
P2 1.40 66.7% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tikhonova Alina — 64%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tikhonova Alina): model 49% · market 67% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳35.6%
market33%
2 · Tikhonova Alina ✓ Прогноз64.4%
market67%

Model estimate: win Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 35.6%, win Tikhonova Alina 64.4%. Model favourite — Tikhonova Alina.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 (odds2.80) confidence 43% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 - Tikhonova Alina 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tikhonova Alina.

Line favourite market consensus: Tikhonova Alina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.80 / 2 1.40
  • Glicko: Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 35.6% / Tikhonova Alina 64.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 33.3%
2 ✓ Прогноз 66.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 11:30 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 - Tikhonova Alina

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 33.9% 35.6%
Tikhonova Alina 66.1% 64.4% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 35.6% / 64.4% probabilities
Rating 1,870 / 1,838 Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 / Tikhonova Alina
RD 163 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,543-2,197 / 1,510-2,166 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 64.4%
1 2.73 market consensus · no value · model 35.6%
Total
Over 20.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +3.5 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0%
П1 +4.5 — 1.69 59.2%
П2 -3.5 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2%
П2 -4.5 — 1.97 50.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 2.73 36.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.67 37.5%
П2 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳
L W W W W
08.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 0:2 Nong X. (Кит)
05.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Maanshan 4 (Китай), хард (в помещении)
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 2:0 Snigireva A. (Мир)
04.07 00:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Maanshan 4 (Китай), хард (в помещении)
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 2:0 Ван Дж. (Кит)
03.07 01:30 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Maanshan 4 (Китай), хард
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 2:0 Kalyakina M. (Мир)
02.07 01:30 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Maanshan 4 (Китай), хард
Yuan Ch. 🇨🇳 2:0 Sun J. (Кит)
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Tikhonova Alina
W W W W W
12.07 00:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Tikhonova Alina 2:0 Cheuk S. Y. (Гкг)
11.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Tikhonova Alina 2:1 Kalyakina M. (Мир)
10.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Tikhonova Alina 2:1 Leong S. L. X. (Млз)
09.07 00:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Tikhonova Alina 2:0 Zhang J. (Авс)
08.07 00:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Luan 4 (Китай), хард
Tikhonova Alina 2:0 Choi O. (Кор)
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage