ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard

16.07.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction

Belyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard

ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 16.07.2026 04:00 UTC Finished

16.07.2026 04:00 UTC Finished

Belyaeva D. (World)

Matsuda R

0:2

Odds

P1 3.90 23.8% BetBoom

P2 1.22 76.2% BetBoom

Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Astana (Казахстан), хард

Belyaeva D. (Мир) 0 0

Мацуда Р. (Япо) 1 2

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Matsuda R — 73%

Pure model vs market (2 · Matsuda R): model 51% · market 76% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Belyaeva D. (World)26.8%

market24%

2 · Matsuda R ✓ Прогноз73.2%

market76%

Model estimate: win Belyaeva D. (World) 26.8%, win Matsuda R 73.2%. Model favourite — Matsuda R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Matsuda R (odds1.22) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct

• Belyaeva D
• (Мир) — Мацуда Р
• (Япо) (теннис)
• Belyaeva D
• (Мир): форма ВП (1-1)
• Мацуда Р
• (Япо): форма ВППВВ (3-2)
• очные 0-1 (за 1)
• Модель ставит на Мацуда Р
• (Япо): вероятность 51% против 82% по линии (кэф 1.22)
✓ перевеса над линией нет (-31 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Belyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R 16 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Matsuda R.

Line favourite market consensus: Matsuda R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.90 / 2 1.22
Glicko: Belyaeva D. (World) 26.8% / Matsuda R 73.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%

1 23.8%

2 ✓ Прогноз 76.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 16.07.2026 04:00 UTC

Coverage hard

Form 5 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Belyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Belyaeva D. (World) 24.3% 26.8%

Matsuda R 75.7% 73.2% market and model agree

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 26.8% / 73.2% probabilities

Rating 1,483 / 1,575 Belyaeva D. (World) / Matsuda R

RD 234 / 134 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,015-1,951 / 1,306-1,843 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 73.2%

1 3.76 market consensus · no value · model 26.8%

Total

Over 18.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Over 19.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
П1 +5.5	1.82 55.0%	1.77 56.5%
П2 -5.5	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
ТБ 18.5	—	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 19.5	1.94 51.6%	1.91 52.4%
ТМ 18.5	—	1.95 51.3%
ТМ 19.5	1.77 56.5%	1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
П1	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	3.58 27.9%
П2	1.22 82.0%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%

Match center

Belyaeva D. (World)

15.07 05:30 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard

Belyaeva D. (World) 2:0 Kuznetsova M. (World)

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Matsuda R

15.07 04:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard

Matsuda R 2:0 Suslova S. (World)

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBelyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R

Belyaeva D. (World)

1 matches total

Matsuda R

Belyaeva D. (World): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Matsuda R: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Мацуда Р. (Япо) 0:2 (08.07 05:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 08.07 05:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Astana (Казахстан), хард

Belyaeva D. (Мир)

0:2

Мацуда Р. (Япо)