Smirnova K - Podhajecka D
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Smirnova K — 52%
Model estimate: win Smirnova K 51.7%, win Podhajecka D 48.3%. Model favourite — Smirnova K.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Смирнова К
- • (Мир) — Podhajecka D
- • (Пол) (теннис)
- • Смирнова К
- • (Мир): форма ПВВВП (3-2)
- • Podhajecka D
- • (Пол): форма П (0-1)
- • Модель ставит на Смирнова К
- • (Мир): вероятность 51% против 75% по линии (кэф 1.34)
- ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-23 пп) — прогноз информационный.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Smirnova K - Podhajecka D 16 июля 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / 2 3.21
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Smirnova K - Podhajecka D
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 -5.5 | 1.96 51.0% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 19.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТМ 19.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.27 78.7% |
| П2 | 3.21 31.2% |
Full head-to-head historySmirnova K - Podhajecka D