Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Alvarez Sarmiento M L — 50%
Model estimate: win Alvarez Sarmiento M L 50.0%, win Barranco Cosano J 50.0%. Model favourite — Alvarez Sarmiento M L.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 +4.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| П1 +5.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П1 +6.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| П2 +5.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| П2 +6.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 17.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| ТБ 18.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 19.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| ТБ 20.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТМ 17.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТМ 18.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТМ 19.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| ТМ 20.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| П2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Full head-to-head historyAlvarez Sarmiento M L - Barranco Cosano J