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WTA 125K. Istanbul
WTA 125K. Istanbul International
14.07.2026 15:23 MSK Match prediction

Khomutyanskaya D - Nugrokho P-M

Tennis WTA 125K. Istanbul
WTA 125K. Istanbul 14.07.2026 15:23 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 15:23 MSK Finished
Khomutyanskaya D
Khomutyanskaya D
Nugrokho P-M
Nugrokho P-M
2:0
Odds
P1 1.80 52.3% BetBoom
P2 1.97 47.8% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Nugrokho P-M — 51%

1 · Khomutyanskaya D49.1%
2 · Nugrokho P-M50.9%

Model estimate: win Khomutyanskaya D 49.1%, win Nugrokho P-M 50.9%. Model favourite — Nugrokho P-M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khomutyanskaya D - Nugrokho P-M 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Khomutyanskaya D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khomutyanskaya D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Khomutyanskaya D 49.1% / Nugrokho P-M 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.40 ↓ 1.80
Победитель П2 1.50 ↑ 1.97

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 15:23 MSK
Form 1 matches
Match center

Khomutyanskaya D - Nugrokho P-M

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Khomutyanskaya D 52.3% 49.1% market favourite
Nugrokho P-M 47.8% 50.9% Glicko-противоход
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.1% / 50.9% probabilities
Rating 1,307 / 1,500 Khomutyanskaya D / Nugrokho P-M
RD 290 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 726-1,888 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 49.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.83 54.6%
П1 -1.5 1.65 60.6%
П1 -2.5 1.58 63.3%
П1 -3.5 1.57 63.7%
П1 -4.5 1.14 87.7%
П1 -5.5 1.05 95.2%
П2 +0.5 1.78 56.2%
П2 +1.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +2.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +4.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -1.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -2.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -3.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -4.5 4.70 21.3%
П2 -5.5 7.50 13.3%
П2 -6.5 3.40 29.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 17.5 3.40 29.4%
ТБ 18.5 7.50 13.3%
ТБ 19.5 4.70 21.3%
ТБ 20.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 21.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 22.5 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 23.5 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 24.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 25.5 1.73 57.8%
ТБ 26.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 17.5 1.27 78.7%
ТМ 18.5 1.05 95.2%
ТМ 19.5 1.14 87.7%
ТМ 20.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 21.5 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 22.5 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 23.5 1.78 56.2%
ТМ 24.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.01 99.0%
П2 14.00 7.1%
Match center
Khomutyanskaya D
L
07.07 08:40 UTC+0 World Tennis. Женщины. Корройюш-Сейшал
Khomutyanskaya D 0:2 Гао Синьюй
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Nugrokho P-M
L
07.07 08:40 UTC+0 World Tennis. Женщины. Корройюш-Сейшал
Nugrokho P-M 0:2 Гао Синьюй
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage