WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC 3-й круг
Finished

WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass

Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 - Sakkari M. 🇬🇷

Tennis
Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹
Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹
2 : 0
6:1 6:2
Finished
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 - Sakkari M. 🇬🇷 4 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 90.6%
2 9.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins3
0.8Average score1.2

Head-to-head matches: 5 · average total 2.0 (goals)

Team form

Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹
5-5LWLWLWLLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.3
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷
5-5WLLWWLLLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Form and head-to-head • Wimbledon - Women - 3rd Round

Team stats

Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹
LWLWLWLLWW
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.3
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷
WLLDWLLLWW
W 4 • D 1 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.1 : 1.4
Head-to-head: 5 — Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 2, draws 0, Sakkari M. 🇬🇷 3 (goals 4:6)
  • Maria Sakkari — Jasmine Paolini2026-02-10 2:0
  • Jasmine Paolini — Maria Sakkari2025-08-10 2:0
  • Maria Sakkari — Jasmine Paolini2025-04-27 2:0
  • Maria Sakkari — Jasmine Paolini2024-02-21 0:2
  • Maria Sakkari — Jasmine Paolini2021-06-03 2:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface • grass

Player strength by ELO

Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹
ELO 1905 #20
hard1873
clay1856
grass1748
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷
ELO 1812 #47
hard1796
clay1754
grass1631
ELO favourite (grass): Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 — ELO 1748 vs 1631

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Паолини Я.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 5
  • Rest: 2 days
Саккари М.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 5
  • Rest: 2 days

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Паолини Я.
9–11 (45% over last 20)
  • Hard: 6–6
  • Clay: 3–4
  • Grass: 0–1
Саккари М.
9–11 (45% over last 20)
  • Hard: 6–4
  • Clay: 3–5
  • Grass: 0–2
Head-to-head: 4 — Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 2 : 2 Sakkari M. 🇬🇷

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Всеанглийский клуб лаун-тенниса и крокета. Корт 3
Start 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 - Sakkari M. 🇬🇷

Итоговый протокол и результаты теннисного матча Жасмин Паолини - Мария Саккари, 04 июля 2026. Уимблдон (ж). Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Жасмин Паолини - Мария Саккари, кто победил.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 13.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Over 14.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.87 53.5%
П1 -1.5 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8%
П1 0 1.90 52.6%
П2 +0.5 1.91 52.4%
П2 +1.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
П2 -0.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -1.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -10.5 1.20 83.3%
П2 -2.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 -3.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 -4.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -5.5 3.20 31.3%
П2 -6.5 4.60 21.7%
П2 -7.5 8.00 12.5%
П2 -8.5 6.00 16.7%
П2 0 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 13.5 1.20 83.3%
ТБ 14.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 15.5 6.00 16.7%
ТБ 16.5 8.00 12.5%
ТБ 17.5 3.50 28.6%
ТБ 18.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 19.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 20.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 21.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 23.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 24.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 25.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 26.5 2.75 36.4%
ТМ 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.04 96.2% 1.72 58.1%
П2 2.10 47.6% 2.06 48.5% 10.00 10.0% 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹
W W
02.07 16:25 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 2:0 Golubich V. 🇨🇭Golubich V. 🇨🇭
30.06 08:00 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹 2:1 Montgomeri R. 🇺🇸Montgomeri R. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷
W W
02.07 11:30 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷 2:1 Rakhimova K. 🇺🇿Rakhimova K. 🇺🇿
30.06 08:00 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sakkari M. 🇬🇷 2:0 Tauson K. 🇩🇰Tauson K. 🇩🇰
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage