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Nations League. Women. China. 1/4 finala
Nations League. Women. China. 1/4 finala International
22.07.2026 07:55 UTC quarter-final
Not started

Nations League. Women. China. 1/4 finala

Italy (w) - Netherlands (w)

International Volleyball
Italy (w)
Italy (w)
- : -
Not started
Netherlands (w)
Netherlands (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Italy (w)72%

1 · Italy (w) ✓ Pick72.1%
market91%
2 · Netherlands (w)27.9%
market9%

Model estimate: win Italy (w) 72.1%, win Netherlands (w) 27.9%. Model favourite — Italy (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Italy (w) - Netherlands (w) July 22, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Italy (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 91.4%
2 8.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.09 → 1.09
Pobeditel P2 7.40 → 7.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Italy (w)
Last 5: 5W · 0L · sets 15:6 · 100%
3:2AChina (Zh)
3:2ACanada (Zh)
3:0ABelgium (Zh)
3:1AUkraine (Zh)
3:1AUkraine (Zh)
Netherlands (w)
Last 5: 4W · 1L · sets 11:3 · 80%
0:3ASerbia (Zh)
3:0AGermany (Zh)
3:0ACzechia (Zh)
2:0AFrance (Zh)
3:0AFrance (Zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Makao Ist Azian Geyms Dom (Makao), vmestimost: 9000
Start 22.07.2026 07:55 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Italy (w) - Netherlands (w)

Volleyball, Italy - Netherlands, 22 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Italy - Netherlands, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Nations League (zh) 2026, quarter-final.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Italy (w) 87.2% 72.1% market and model agree
Netherlands (w) 12.8% 27.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 72.1% / 27.9% probabilities
Rating 1,939 / 1,579 Italy (w) / Netherlands (w)
RD 160 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,620-2,258 / 1,281-1,877 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 market consensus · no value · model 27.9%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 72.1%
Total
Over 128.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 130.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.40 41.7%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.63 61.4%
1.50 66.7%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%
11.00 9.1% 9.00 11.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 128.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 130.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 136.5 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 137.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 138.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 139.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 128.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 130.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 136.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
Under 137.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 138.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 139.5 1.86 53.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Italy (w)WWWWWLWWLW
Netherlands (w)LWWWWLWLWL
H2H 6-0-2
2026-06-05 · Italy (Zh) 3:0 Netherlands (Zh)
2025-07-13 · Italy (Zh) 3:0 Netherlands (Zh)
2024-08-01 · Italy (Zh) 3:0 Netherlands (Zh)
2023-09-03 · Italy (Zh) 0:3 Netherlands (Zh)
2023-06-17 · Italy (Zh) 3:2 Netherlands (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Italy (w)
W W W W W
12.07 10:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Italy (w) 3:2 China (Zh)China (Zh)
11.07 06:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Italy (w) 3:2 Canada (Zh)Canada (Zh)
10.07 10:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Italy (w) 3:0 Belgium (Zh)Belgium (Zh)
08.07 08:55 UTC+0 Nations League. Women
Italy (w) 3:1 Ukraine (Zh)Ukraine (Zh)
08.07 07:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Italy (w) 3:1 Ukraine (Zh)Ukraine (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Netherlands (w)
L W W W W
12.07 16:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Netherlands (w) 0:3 Serbia (Zh)Serbia (Zh)
10.07 16:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Netherlands (w) 3:0 Germany (Zh)Germany (Zh)
09.07 12:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Netherlands (w) 3:0 Czechia (Zh)Czechia (Zh)
08.07 10:55 UTC+0 Nations League. Women
Netherlands (w) 2:0 France (Zh)France (Zh)
08.07 09:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Netherlands (w) 3:0 France (Zh)France (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyItaly (w) - Netherlands (w)

Italy (w)
1 matches total
Netherlands (w)
Italy (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Netherlands (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Italy (Zh) 3:0 (05.06 21:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 05.06 21:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.06 21:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Italy (Zh)
3:0
Netherlands (Zh)
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Italy (w)
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Netherlands (w)
Italy (w) Team comparison Netherlands (w)
12 Games 12
10 Wins 7
2 Losses 5
32 Vyigrano partiy 24
14 Proigrano partiy 15
28 Points 21
Russia. Prognoz: set pishem, dva v ume Italy –
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Italy Netherlands 12 Games 12 10 Wins 7 2 Losses 5 32 Vyigrano partiy 24 14 Proigrano partiy 15 28 Points 21 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Khulio Velasko Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 74% 16% 10% Double chance 45% 42% 13% Materialy po prognozam Italy – Russia. Prognoz: set pishem, dva v ume Italy – Russia. Prognoz: khozyayki ne dadut shansov CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1315256' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Nations League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings