Nations League
USA - China
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 USA — 85%
Pure model vs market (1 · USA): model 61% · market 89% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win USA 85.1%, win China 14.9%. Model favourite — USA.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction USA - China 16 июля 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 8.10
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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USA - China
Волейбол, США - Китай, 16 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 3 : 0, статистика и результаты, видео голов. Лига наций (м) 2026, Предварительный этап. Во сколько начало матча США - Китай, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -12.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% | — |
| П1 -13.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| П1 -14.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| П1 -15.5 | 1.98 50.5% | — | — |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.98 50.5% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| П2 +15.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| П2 -12.5 | — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -14.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| П2 -15.5 | — | — | 1.98 50.5% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.06 94.3% |
| П2 | 7.60 13.2% | 7.20 13.9% | 16.00 6.3% | 8.10 12.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 143.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТБ 144.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТБ 145.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТБ 146.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТБ 147.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 148.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 149.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 150.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 151.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 152.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 153.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 155.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 156.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 160.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 168.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 143.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
USA
China
Full head-to-head historyUSA - China
Match history
США Китай 8 Игры 8 6 Победы 1 2 Поражения 7 22 Выиграно партий 9 10 Проиграно партий 21 19 Очки 4