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World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women - Playoff
World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women - Playoff
21.07.2026 06:00 UTC
21.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women - Playoff

Italy (w) - Netherlands (w)

Volleyball
Italy (w)
Italy (w)
- : -
Finished
Netherlands (w)
Netherlands (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Italy (w) — 59%

1 · Italy (w) ✓ Pick59.0%
market91%
2 · Netherlands (w)41.0%
market9%

Model estimate: win Italy (w) 59.0%, win Netherlands (w) 41.0%. Model favourite — Italy (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Italy (w) (odds1.39) Score 3:1 confidence 72%
  • • Italy (Zh): forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Netherlands (Zh): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Italy (Zh): probability 72% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Italy (w) - Netherlands (w) July 21, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Italy (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.04 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 ✓ Pick 91.4%
2 8.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Italy (w) - Netherlands (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market BetBoom, odds
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Italy (w) - 59.0% model pick
Netherlands (w) - 41.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 59.0% / 41.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Italy (w) / Netherlands (w)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.10 market consensus · no value · model 41.0%
1 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 59.0%
Total
Over 136.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 138.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4%
2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.86 53.8%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2%
11.00 9.1% 9.10 11.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 136.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 138.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 139.5 — — 1.86 53.8%
Over 140.5 — — 1.86 53.8%
Under 136.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 138.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 139.5 — — 1.84 54.4%
Under 140.5 — — 1.84 54.4%