Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
16.07.2026 07:30 MSK Предварительный этап
Finished

Nations league. Japan

Belgium - Italy

Volleyball
Stadium Осака Муниципал Централ Гимназиум (Осака, Япония), вместимость: 10000
Belgium
Belgium
0 : 3
Finished
Italy
Italy
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Italy71%

1 · Belgium29.2%
2 · Italy ✓ Прогноз70.8%

Model estimate: win Belgium 29.2%, win Italy 70.8%. Model favourite — Italy.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Italy (odds1.46) Score 1:3 confidence 69% ✓ outcome correct
  • Бельгия: форма ППВВП (2-3)
  • Италия: форма ВВВВП (4-1)
  • очные 0-1 (за 1)
  • Модель ставит на Италия: вероятность 69% против 68% по линии (кэф 1.46)
  • лёгкий перевес +0 пп над линией.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Belgium - Italy 16 июля 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Belgium 29.2% / Italy 70.8%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 5.60 ↓ 5.30
Победитель П2 1.09 ↑ 1.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Belgium
5-5WWWLWLLWLL
sets for 2.0sets against 1.9
Italy

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Осака Муниципал Централ Гимназиум (Осака, Япония), вместимость: 10000
Referee Лю Цзян (Чунцин, Китай)
Start 16.07.2026 07:30 MSK
Stage Предварительный этап
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
Match center

Belgium - Italy

Волейбол, Бельгия - Италия, 16 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 0 : 3, статистика и результаты, видео голов. Лига наций (м) 2026, Предварительный этап. Во сколько начало матча Бельгия - Италия, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Belgium 17.2% 29.2%
Italy 82.8% 70.8% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 29.2% / 70.8% probabilities
Rating 1,236 / 1,796 Belgium / Italy
RD 150 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 936-1,537 / 1,494-2,099 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 70.8%
Total
Over 133.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 134.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +10.5 1.52 65.8%
П1 +11.5 1.09 91.7%
П1 +12.5 1.30 76.9%
П1 +13.5 1.45 69.0%
П1 +14.5 1.46 68.5%
П1 +15.5 1.58 63.3%
П1 +16.5 1.50 66.7%
П1 +7.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 +10.5 2.54 39.4%
П2 +11.5 6.10 16.4%
П2 +12.5 3.20 31.3%
П2 +13.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 +14.5 2.52 39.7%
П2 +15.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 +16.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 +7.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 +8.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 +9.5 1.42 70.4%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 16.00 6.3%
П2 1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 133.5 1.30 76.9%
ТБ 134.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 135.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 136.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 137.5 1.27 78.7%
ТБ 138.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 139.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 140.5 4.90 20.4%
ТБ 141.5 4.90 20.4%
ТБ 142.5 6.10 16.4%
ТБ 143.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 144.5 2.70 37.0%
ТБ 145.5 2.50 40.0%
ТБ 146.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 147.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 150.5 2.50 40.0%
ТБ 151.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 152.5 2.50 40.0%
Match center
Belgium
L L W L L
15.07 07:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Belgium 0:3 KubaKuba
26.06 19:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Belgium 1:3 GermanyGermany
14.06 15:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Belgium 3:2 IranIran
12.06 20:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Belgium 1:3 SerbiaSerbia
12.06 00:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Belgium 1:3 BrazilBrazil
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Italy
L W W W
15.07 11:20 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Italy 2:3 JapanJapan
26.06 19:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Italy 3:1 BrazilBrazil
14.06 23:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Italy 3:2 USAUSA
14.06 00:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Italy 3:0 TurkeyTurkey
3 Wins
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBelgium - Italy

Belgium
0 matches total
Italy
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 (м) Италия 3 : 0 Бельгия 1/4 финала 16.09.
Event
2025 (м) Италия 2 : 3 Бельгия Группа F. 2-й тур 28.08.
Event
2023 (м) Бельгия 0 : 3 Италия Группа A. 1-й тур 13.09.
Event
2018 (м) Италия 3 : 0 Бельгия Группа A. 2-й тур 31.08.
Event
2017 (м) Бельгия 3 : 0 Италия 1/4 финала 17.06.
Event
2017 Мировая лига (м) Италия 1 : 3 Бельгия Группа 1 25.06.
Event
2016 Мировая лига (м) Италия 3 : 0 Бельгия Группа 1 18.06.
Event
2016 Мировая лига (м) Бельгия 0 : 3 Италия Группа 1 04.09.
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Belgium
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Italy
Belgium Team comparison Italy
9 Игры 9
3 Победы 5
6 Поражения 4
14 Выиграно партий 21
22 Проиграно партий 17
9 Очки 17
9 Игры 9
3 Победы 5
6 Поражения 4
14 Выиграно партий 21
22 Проиграно партий 17
9 Очки 17

Бельгия Италия 9 Игры 9 3 Победы 5 6 Поражения 4 14 Выиграно партий 21 22 Проиграно партий 17 9 Очки 17