Nations league. Japan
Belgium - Italy
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Italy — 71%
Model estimate: win Belgium 29.2%, win Italy 70.8%. Model favourite — Italy.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Бельгия: форма ППВВП (2-3)
- • Италия: форма ВВВВП (4-1)
- • очные 0-1 (за 1)
- • Модель ставит на Италия: вероятность 69% против 68% по линии (кэф 1.46)
- ✓ лёгкий перевес +0 пп над линией.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Belgium - Italy 16 июля 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Belgium 29.2% / Italy 70.8%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Belgium - Italy
Волейбол, Бельгия - Италия, 16 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 0 : 3, статистика и результаты, видео голов. Лига наций (м) 2026, Предварительный этап. Во сколько начало матча Бельгия - Италия, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 +10.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| П1 +11.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| П1 +12.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| П1 +13.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| П1 +14.5 | 1.46 68.5% |
| П1 +15.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| П1 +16.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| П1 +7.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| П2 +10.5 | 2.54 39.4% |
| П2 +11.5 | 6.10 16.4% |
| П2 +12.5 | 3.20 31.3% |
| П2 +13.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| П2 +14.5 | 2.52 39.7% |
| П2 +15.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| П2 +16.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 +7.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 +8.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 +9.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 16.00 6.3% |
| П2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 133.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| ТБ 134.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| ТБ 135.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 136.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| ТБ 137.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| ТБ 138.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 139.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 140.5 | 4.90 20.4% |
| ТБ 141.5 | 4.90 20.4% |
| ТБ 142.5 | 6.10 16.4% |
| ТБ 143.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| ТБ 144.5 | 2.70 37.0% |
| ТБ 145.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТБ 146.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТБ 147.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТБ 150.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТБ 151.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 152.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
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Full head-to-head historyBelgium - Italy
Match history
Бельгия Италия 9 Игры 9 3 Победы 5 6 Поражения 4 14 Выиграно партий 21 22 Проиграно партий 17 9 Очки 17