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Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
Preliminary round 17.07.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 19:00 UTC Preliminary round
Finished

Nations league. Japan

China - Bulgaria

Volleyball
Stadium Nau Arena (Khoffman-Esteyts, USA), capacity: 10543
China
China
1 : 3
Finished
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Bulgaria — 83%

Pure model vs market (2 · Bulgaria): model 59% · market 87% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · China17.2%
market13%
2 · Bulgaria ✓ Pick82.8%
market87%

Model estimate: win China 17.2%, win Bulgaria 82.8%. Model favourite — Bulgaria.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bulgaria (odds1.56) Score 1:3 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • China: forma PPPVP (1-4)
  • • Bulgaria: forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Bulgaria: probability 64% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction China - Bulgaria July 17, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bulgaria.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bulgaria. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: China 17.2% / Bulgaria 82.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 13.3%
1 12.6%
2 ✓ Pick 87.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 7.10 ↓ 6.20
Winner 2 1.05 ↑ 1.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

China
#121 ptsGP 10-1
Bulgaria
#86 ptsGP 32-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

China
1-9LLLLWLLLLL
sets for 0.8sets against 2.9
Bulgaria
7-3WWLWWLWLWW
sets for 2.3sets against 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Nau Arena (Khoffman-Esteyts, USA), vmestimost: 10543
Referee Khuan Rivera (Puerto-Riko)
Start 17.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Stage Predvaritelnyy etap
Form 10 matches
H2H 6
Match center

China - Bulgaria

Volleyball, China - Bulgaria, 18 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 1 : 3, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. Nations League (m) 2026, Preliminary round. Vo skolko nachalo matches China - Bulgaria, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 6 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
China 14.6% 17.2%
Bulgaria 85.5% 82.8% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 17.2% / 82.8% probabilities
Rating 1,137 / 1,384 China / Bulgaria
RD 162 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 814-1,461 / 1,079-1,689 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 82.8%
1 6.70 market consensus · no value · model 17.2%
Total
Over 130.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.90 52.6%
1.82 55.0% —
1.80 55.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.07 48.3%
— 2.05 48.8%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.62 61.7%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.34 74.6%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 5.50 18.2%
— 2.08 48.1%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 2.00 50.0%
1.88 53.2% —
1.90 52.6% —

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
7.00 14.3% 16.00 6.3% 6.40 15.6%
1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.09 91.7%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 130.5 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 132.5 — 1.32 75.8%
Over 133.5 — 1.30 76.9%
Over 134.5 — 1.33 75.2%
Over 135.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 136.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 137.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 138.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 139.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 142.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 149.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 151.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 153.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 167.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 160.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 167.5 1.85 54.1% —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-2
2026-07-17 · China 1:3 Bulgaria
2025-07-18 · China 0:3 Bulgaria
2023-06-06 · China 3:2 Bulgaria
Source: ruscore
China
L L W L L
16.07 19:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 0:3 FranceFrance
15.07 23:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 0:3 USAUSA
14.06 06:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 3:0 CubaCuba
13.06 06:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 1:3 JapanJapan
11.06 06:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 1:3 UkraineUkraine
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Bulgaria
L L W W L
15.07 15:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 0:3 PolandPoland
14.06 15:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 0:3 SerbiaSerbia
13.06 16:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 3:1 ArgentinaArgentina
11.06 17:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 3:0 IranIran
10.06 14:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 1:3 BelgiumBelgium
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChina - Bulgaria

China
0 matches total
Bulgaria
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Nations League (m) China 0 : 3 Bulgaria Predvaritelnyy etap 06.06.
Event
2023 Nations League (m) Bulgaria 2 : 3 China Predvaritelnyy etap 09.07.
Event
2022 Nations League (m) China 3 : 1 Bulgaria Predvaritelnyy etap 07.06.
Event
2019 Nations League (m) China 3 : 0 Bulgaria Predvaritelnyy etap 25.05.
Event
2018 Nations League (m) China 2 : 3 Bulgaria Predvaritelnyy etap 05.09.
Event
2014 (m) China 0 : 3 Bulgaria Group C. 3-y Round ; ;
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 China
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Bulgaria
China Team comparison Bulgaria
10 Games 9
1 Wins 5
9 Losses 4
9 Vyigrano partiy 18
27 Proigrano partiy 18
4 Points 14
10 Games 9
1 Wins 5
9 Losses 4
9 Vyigrano partiy 18
27 Proigrano partiy 18
4 Points 14

China Bulgaria 10 Games 9 1 Wins 5 9 Losses 4 9 Vyigrano partiy 18 27 Proigrano partiy 18 4 Points 14