Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
16.07.2026 02:00 MSK
Finished

Nations league. Japan

USA - China

Volleyball
USA
USA
3 : 0
Finished
China
China
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 USA85%

Pure model vs market (1 · USA): model 64% · market 88% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · USA ✓ Прогноз85.4%
market88%
2 · China14.6%
market12%

Model estimate: win USA 85.4%, win China 14.6%. Model favourite — USA.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1USA (odds1.06) confidence 74% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction USA - China 16 июля 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like USA.

Line favourite market consensus: USA. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.06 / 2 8.00
  • Glicko: USA 85.4% / China 14.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 ✓ Прогноз 88.3%
2 11.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

USA

no data

China
1-9LLLLWLLLLL
sets for 0.8sets against 2.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

USA
Last 5: 4В · 1П · sets 12:5 · 80%
2:0AСербия
2:0AИран
2:3HИталия
3:2AКанада
3:0AГермания
China
Last 5: 1В · 4П · sets 5:10 · 20%
0:2HГермания
0:3HАргентина
1:2HБельгия
3:0HКуба
1:3HЯпония

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 02:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

USA - China

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
USA 87.8% 85.4% market and model agree
China 12.2% 14.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 85.4% / 14.6% probabilities
Rating 1,782 / 1,197 USA / China
RD 163 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,456-2,107 / 886-1,509 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 market consensus · no value · model 14.6%
1 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 85.4%
Total
Over 144.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 145.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 -12.5 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
П1 -13.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
П1 -14.5 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
П2 +12.5 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
П2 +13.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
П2 +14.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%
П2 7.60 13.2% 7.20 13.9% 8.00 12.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
ТБ 144.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 145.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 147.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 148.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 149.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 150.5 1.86 53.8%
ТБ 151.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 144.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 145.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 147.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 148.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 149.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 150.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 151.5 1.85 54.1%
Match center
USA
L W
14.06 23:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
USA 2:3 ItalyItaly
10.06 16:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
USA 3:1 RoundtsiyaRoundtsiya
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
China
W L L L
14.06 09:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 3:0 KubaKuba
13.06 09:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 1:3 JapanJapan
11.06 09:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 1:3 UkraineUkraine
10.06 09:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
China 2:3 SloveniaSlovenia
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUSA - China

USA
0 matches total
China
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history