Nations league. Japan
USA - China
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 USA — 85%
Pure model vs market (1 · USA): model 64% · market 88% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win USA 85.4%, win China 14.6%. Model favourite — USA.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction USA - China 16 июля 2026
Volleyball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like USA.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.06 / 2 8.00
- Glicko: USA 85.4% / China 14.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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USA - China
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -12.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | — |
| П1 -13.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% |
| П1 -14.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.91 52.4% |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.79 55.9% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
| П2 | 7.60 13.2% | 7.20 13.9% | 8.00 12.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 144.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 145.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 147.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 148.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 149.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТБ 150.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| ТБ 151.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 144.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 145.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТМ 147.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТМ 148.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 149.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 150.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТМ 151.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
USA
Italy
Roundtsiya
China
Kuba
Japan
Ukraine
Slovenia
Full head-to-head historyUSA - China