Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

05.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Angola - Mali

Basketball

Angola

88 : 74

Finished

Mali

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Angola — 59%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angola - Mali July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Angola. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%

1 90.4%

2 9.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Angola

#44 ptsGP 40-4

Mali

#18 ptsGP 44-0

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins1

50.0%Win %50.0%

74.5Points per game61.5

103.1Offensive rating59.9

85.1Defensive rating72.5

13.0Point differential-13.0

45.0Assists48.0

136.5Rebounds103.5

30.0%3-pointers, %22.5%

Team form

Angola

Coach: Josep Clarós

Overall LWWWW Net +21.3

Home WWW Net +44.0

Away LWW Net +10.0

Mali

Overall WWWLW Net +14.0

Home WWW Net +10.0

Away WLW Net +22.0

Team stats

Angola Overall · Home/Away Mali

66.7%H 100.0% · A 50.0%Win %100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%

21.3H 44.0 · A 10.0Point differential14.0H 10.0 · A 22.0

84.0H 90.0 · A 81.0Points per game83.3H 83.0 · A 84.0

73.3H 68.0 · A 76.0Conceded76.3H 78.0 · A 73.0

40.3%H 40.0% · A 40.5%FG, %45.0%H 48.0% · A 39.0%

66.7A 50.01st half66.7A 0.0

80.2H 87.0 · A 76.9Pace80.6H 78.8 · A 84.0

103.0H 97.1 · A 106.3Offensive rating102.6H 106.4 · A 95.8

89.9H 84.8 · A 92.8Defensive rating94.0H 97.5 · A 87.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Angola Total (over) Mali

84.0 Points per game 83.3

66.7%

O 80.5

66.7%

O 81.5

66.7%

O 82.5

66.7%

33.3%

O 83.5srednee

66.7%

33.3%

O 84.5

33.3%

O 85.5

33.3%

O 86.5

0.0%

33.3%

O 87.5

0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Angola 45.0 / Mali 45.7

Angola Total (over) Mali

100.0%

O 42.5

100.0%

O 43.5

100.0%

66.7%

O 44.5

100.0%

33.3%

O 45.5srednee

66.7%

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Angola — / Mali —

Angola Total (over) Mali

33.3%

O 40.5

0.0%

33.3%

O 41.5

0.0%

33.3%

O 42.5

0.0%

33.3%

O 43.5

0.0%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - Africa

Team stats

Angola

WWWWWWLWLL

W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:81 : 70.8

2 place, 8 pts

Mali

LWWWLWWWWW

W 8 • D 0 • L 2 (10)

Goals average:78.3 : 75.1

1 place, 10 pts

Head-to-head: 2 — Angola 1, draws 0, Mali 1 (goals 149:123)

Mali — Angola2026-03-01 80:79
Angola — Mali2025-08-24 70:43

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Angola

Back-to-back / no rest

Rest days: 1
Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Mali

Back-to-back / no rest

Rest days: 1
Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Angola

154.5 points/match (over 2)

Scores: 84
Concedes: 70.5

Mali

144.5 points/match (over 2)

Scores: 80
Concedes: 64.5

Total line: 150.5 · projection from form: 149.5 · Over in 50% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center

Start 05.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Angola - Mali

Basketball, Angola - Mali, 5 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 88 : 74, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Africa. Vo skolko nachalo matches Angola - Mali, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 145.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Over 146.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.86 53.8%	1.80 55.6%	—
1.91 52.4%	—	—
1.86 53.8%	1.90 52.6%	—
1.81 55.3%	—	—
—	—	2.05 48.8%
—	—	1.57 63.7%
—	—	1.40 71.4%
—	—	1.85 54.1%
—	—	1.92 52.1%
—	—	2.65 37.7%
—	—	2.30 43.5%
—	—	2.30 43.5%
—	—	1.80 55.6%
—	—	2.30 43.5%
—	—	1.45 69.0%
—	—	1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 145.5	—	—	1.52 65.8%
Over 146.5	—	—	1.58 63.3%
Over 147.5	—	—	1.68 59.5%
Over 148.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 149.5	—	—	1.58 63.3%
Over 150.5	1.86 53.8%	1.84 54.4%	1.52 65.8%
Over 151.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 152.5	—	—	1.45 69.0%
Over 153.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 154.5	—	—	1.43 69.9%
Over 155.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%
Over 156.5	—	—	1.68 59.5%
Over 157.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
Over 158.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%
Under 150.5	1.86 53.8%	1.86 53.8%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.58 63.3%	1.51 66.2%	1.01 99.0%	1.58 63.3%
	2.25 44.4%	2.40 41.7%	9.50 10.5%	2.34 42.7%

Match center

Angola

L W

04.07 16:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Angola 73:79 Egypt

02.07 16:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Angola 95:62 Uganda

1 Wins

1 Losses

84.0 Scored

70.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Mali

W W

04.07 13:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Mali 82:59 Uganda

02.07 13:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Mali 78:70 Egypt

2 Wins

0 Losses

80.0 Scored

64.5 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngola - Mali

Angola

0 matches total

Mali

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Angola

Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Mali

5 Games 5

3 Wins 5

2 Losses 0

420 Scored 410

361 Conceded 358

8 Points 10

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Angola Mali 5 Games 5 3 Wins 5 2 Losses 0 420 Scored 410 361 Conceded 358 8 Points 10 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 44% 12% 44% Double chance 28% 44% 28% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289260' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');