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Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Cape Verde - Liviya

Basketball
C
Cape Verde
98 : 66
Finished
Liviya
Liviya
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Cape Verde — 75%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Liviya — odds 5.30 · edge +6.3% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cape Verde - Liviya July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cape Verde. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Cape Verde
#37 ptsGP 52-3
Liviya
#45 ptsGP 50-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
85.0Points per game74.0
84.8Offensive rating88.9
73.8Defensive rating102.1
11.0Point differential-11.0
75.0Assists54.0
108.0Rebounds117.0
39.0%3-pointers, %27.0%

Team form

Cape Verde

Coach: Emanuel Trovoada

Overall WLWLW Net -9.3
Home LW Net -60.0
Away WWLW Net +16.0
Liviya
Overall LLLLL Net -27.3
Home LLL Net -17.0
Away LLL Net -48.0

Team stats

Cape Verde Overall · Home/Away Liviya
66.7%H 0.0% · A 100.0%Win %0.0%H 0.0% · A 0.0%
-9.3H -60.0 · A 16.0Point differential-27.3H -17.0 · A -48.0
82.0H 79.0 · A 83.5Points per game66.7H 72.5 · A 55.0
86.7H 109.0 · A 75.5Conceded80.3H 81.0 · A 79.0
44.3%H 41.0% · A 46.0%FG, %37.7%H 43.5% · A 26.0%
66.7H 0.01st half0.0H 0.0 · A 0.0
82.6H 86.1 · A 80.8Pace77.1H 75.6 · A 80.0
97.5H 94.5 · A 99.1Offensive rating88.4H 90.7 · A 84.0
103.1H 99.9 · A 104.8Defensive rating106.5H 109.3 · A 101.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Cape Verde Total (over) Liviya
82.0 Points per game 66.7
100.0%
O 70.5
66.7%
100.0%
O 71.5
33.3%
100.0%
O 72.5
33.3%
100.0%
O 73.5
33.3%
100.0%
O 74.5srednee
0.0%
100.0%
O 75.5
0.0%
100.0%
O 76.5
0.0%
100.0%
O 77.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Cape Verde — / Liviya —

Cape Verde Total (over) Liviya
33.3%
O 40.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 41.5
0.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Cape Verde 43.0 / Liviya —

Cape Verde Total (over) Liviya
100.0%
O 40.5
33.3%
100.0%
O 41.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 42.5srednee
33.3%
33.3%
O 43.5
33.3%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - Africa

Team stats

Cape Verde
WWLWLLWLLL
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:76.5 : 82.3
3 place, 7 pts
Liviya
WWLLLLLLLL
W 2 • D 0 • L 8 (10)
Goals average:64.4 : 85.1
4 place, 5 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Cape Verde 2, draws 0, Liviya 1 (goals 237:224)
  • Libya — Cabo Verde2025-11-30 74:85
  • Cabo Verde — Libya2025-02-22 80:82
  • Libya — Cabo Verde2024-02-24 68:72

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Cape Verde
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Liviya
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Cape Verde
150 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 67.5
  • Concedes: 82.5
Liviya
157 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 66.5
  • Concedes: 90.5
Total line: 153.5 · projection from form: 153.5 · Over in 50% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Cape Verde - Liviya

Basketball, Cape Verde - Liviya, 5 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 98 : 66, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Africa. Vo skolko nachalo matches Cape Verde - Liviya, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.37 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 144.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.81 55.3% — —
— 1.90 52.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
1.91 52.4% — —
— 1.80 55.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.92 52.1%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 143.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 144.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 145.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 146.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 147.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 148.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 149.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 150.5 — — 1.48 67.6%
Over 151.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.57 63.7%
Over 152.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
Over 153.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 151.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 153.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.15 87.0%
5.30 18.9% 5.50 18.2% 11.00 9.1% 5.30 18.9%
Match center
Cape Verde
L L
04.07 12:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Cape Verde 63:83 Yuzhnyy Sudan
02.07 15:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Cape Verde 72:82 Cameroon
0 Wins
2 Losses
67.5 Scored
82.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Liviya
L L
04.07 15:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Liviya 76:86 Cameroon
02.07 12:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Liviya 57:95 Yuzhnyy Sudan
0 Wins
2 Losses
66.5 Scored
90.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCape Verde - Liviya

Cape Verde
0 matches total
Liviya
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Cape Verde
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Liviya
Cape Verde Team comparison Liviya
5 Games 5
2 Wins 0
3 Losses 5
381 Scored 333
425 Conceded 422
7 Points 5
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Cape Verde Liviya 5 Games 5 2 Wins 0 3 Losses 5 381 Scored 333 425 Conceded 422 7 Points 5 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 71% 29% 0% Double chance 50% 35% 15% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289256' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');