Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

05.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Finished

Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Tunisia - Gvineya

Basketball

Tunisia

61 : 50

Finished

Gvineya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tunisia - Gvineya July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tunisia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / 2 3.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.9%

1 71.7%

2 28.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Tunisia

#28 ptsGP 53-2

Gvineya

#19 ptsGP 54-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins1

0.0%Win %100.0%

57.0Points per game66.0

56.1Offensive rating135.9

65.0Defensive rating117.4

-9.0Point differential9.0

45.0Assists33.0

99.0Rebounds120.0

33.0%3-pointers, %24.0%

Team form

Tunisia

Overall LWWLW Net +9.3

Home WW Net +26.0

Away LWLL Net +1.0

Gvineya

Overall WWWLW Net +23.3

Home WWLW Net +23.0

Away WW Net +24.0

Team stats

Tunisia Overall · Home/Away Gvineya

66.7%H 100.0% · A 50.0%Win %100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%

9.3H 26.0 · A 1.0Point differential23.3H 23.0 · A 24.0

74.7H 79.0 · A 72.5Points per game72.3H 67.5 · A 82.0

70.0H 66.0 · A 72.0Conceded60.7H 56.0 · A 70.0

40.7%H 48.0% · A 37.0%FG, %38.7%H 35.5% · A 45.0%

66.7A 50.01st half—

73.3H 66.4 · A 76.8Pace67.6H 66.1 · A 70.7

100.2H 109.4 · A 96.2Offensive rating107.5H 109.0 · A 104.6

94.0H 102.5 · A 90.2Defensive rating90.2H 91.4 · A 87.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Tunisia Total (over) Gvineya

74.7 Points per game 72.3

66.7%

O 70.5

33.3%

66.7%

O 71.5

33.3%

66.7%

O 72.5

33.3%

66.7%

O 73.5srednee

33.3%

66.7%

O 74.5

33.3%

66.7%

O 75.5

33.3%

66.7%

O 76.5

33.3%

66.7%

O 77.5

33.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Tunisia — / Gvineya —

Tunisia Total (over) Gvineya

0.0%

O 40.5

33.3%

0.0%

O 41.5

33.3%

0.0%

O 42.5

33.3%

0.0%

O 43.5

33.3%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - Africa

Team stats

Tunisia

LLLWLWWLLW

W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)

Goals average:71.6 : 75.4

2 place, 8 pts

Gvineya

WWLWLWWWWL

W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:74.8 : 65.8

1 place, 9 pts

Head-to-head: 8 — Tunisia 6, draws 0, Gvineya 2 (goals 628:517)

Guinea — Tunisia2025-11-30 66:57
Tunisia — Guinea2025-02-22 64:63
Guinea — Tunisia2024-02-24 78:85
Guinea — Tunisia2023-08-18 95:86
Tunisia — Guinea2021-08-24 82:46

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Tunisia

Normal schedule

Rest days: 2
Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Gvineya

Normal schedule

Rest days: 2
Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Tunisia

157.5 points/match (over 2)

Scores: 82
Concedes: 75.5

Gvineya

155.5 points/match (over 2)

Scores: 84
Concedes: 71.5

Total line: 147.5 · projection from form: 156.5 · Over in 100% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center

Start 05.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

Tunisia - Gvineya

Basketball, Tunisia - Gvineya, 5 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 61 : 50, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Africa. Vo skolko nachalo matches Tunisia - Gvineya, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.25 Fonbet · line only

1 1.28 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 111.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Over 112.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.91 52.4%	—	—
—	1.80 55.6%	—
—	—	1.55 64.5%
—	—	2.12 47.2%
—	—	1.90 52.6%
—	—	1.90 52.6%
—	—	2.10 47.6%
—	—	2.35 42.6%
—	—	2.35 42.6%
—	—	2.20 45.5%
—	—	2.00 50.0%
—	—	2.15 46.5%
—	—	1.72 58.1%
—	—	1.57 63.7%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
1.81 55.3%	—	—
—	1.90 52.6%	—
—	—	1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 111.5	—	—	1.52 65.8%
Over 112.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 113.5	—	—	1.82 55.0%
Over 114.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%
Over 115.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 116.5	—	—	1.52 65.8%
Over 117.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 118.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 119.5	—	—	2.00 50.0%
Over 120.5	—	—	2.20 45.5%
Over 121.5	—	—	1.75 57.1%
Over 122.5	—	—	1.87 53.5%
Over 123.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%
Over 124.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Over 146.5	1.86 53.8%	—	—
Over 147.5	—	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 146.5	1.86 53.8%	—	—
Under 147.5	—	1.85 54.1%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	3.33 30.0%	3.50 28.6%	1.28 78.1%	3.43 29.2%
	1.29 77.5%	1.26 79.4%	3.25 30.8%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

Tunisia

W L

03.07 16:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Tunisia 83:67 Ruanda

02.07 10:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Tunisia 81:84 Nigeria

1 Wins

1 Losses

82.0 Scored

75.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Gvineya

L W

03.07 13:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Gvineya 79:80 Nigeria

02.07 07:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Gvineya 89:63 Ruanda

1 Wins

1 Losses

84.0 Scored

71.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTunisia - Gvineya

Tunisia

0 matches total

Gvineya

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Tunisia

Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Gvineya

5 Games 5

3 Wins 4

2 Losses 1

388 Scored 385

361 Conceded 325

8 Points 9

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Tunisia Gvineya 5 Games 5 3 Wins 4 2 Losses 1 388 Scored 385 361 Conceded 325 8 Points 9 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 83% 0% 17% Double chance 42% 49% 9% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289258' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');