Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
02.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Tunisia - Nigeria

Basketball
Tunisia
Tunisia
81 : 84
Finished
Nigeria
Nigeria
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tunisia (odds5.08) Score 80:80 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Tunisia: probability 50%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tunisia - Nigeria July 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nigeria. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 23.1%
2 76.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Tunisia
#28 ptsGP 53-2
Nigeria
#38 ptsGP 53-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
69.0Points per game55.0
98.4Offensive rating97.9
78.4Defensive rating122.9
14.0Point differential-14.0
42.0Assists33.0
138.0Rebounds111.0
34.0%3-pointers, %24.0%

Team form

Tunisia
Overall WWWLW Net +23.3
Home WWLW Net +23.0
Away WW Net +24.0
Nigeria
Overall WLLLW Net -12.0
Home WLLW Net -4.0
Away LW Net -28.0

Team stats

Tunisia Overall · Home/Away Nigeria
100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%Win %33.3%H 50.0% · A 0.0%
23.3H 23.0 · A 24.0Point differential-12.0H -4.0 · A -28.0
72.3H 67.5 · A 82.0Points per game69.3H 76.5 · A 55.0
60.7H 56.0 · A 70.0Conceded75.3H 78.5 · A 69.0
38.7%H 35.5% · A 45.0%FG, %34.7%H 36.0% · A 32.0%
1st half0.0H 0.0 · A 0.0
67.6H 66.1 · A 70.7Pace79.1H 86.0 · A 65.2
107.5H 109.0 · A 104.6Offensive rating89.0H 80.8 · A 111.5
90.2H 91.4 · A 87.7Defensive rating96.7H 87.8 · A 121.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Tunisia Total (over) Nigeria
72.3 Points per game 69.3
33.3%
O 70.5srednee
66.7%
33.3%
O 71.5
66.7%
33.3%
O 72.5
66.7%
33.3%
O 73.5
66.7%
33.3%
O 74.5
66.7%
33.3%
O 75.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 76.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 77.5
33.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Tunisia — / Nigeria —

Tunisia Total (over) Nigeria
33.3%
O 40.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 41.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 42.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 43.5
0.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Tunisia — / Nigeria —

Tunisia Total (over) Nigeria
0.0%
O 40.5
33.3%

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Tunisia - Nigeria

Basketball, Tunisia - Nigeria, 2 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 81 : 84, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Africa. Vo skolko nachalo matches Tunisia - Nigeria, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 144.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9%
1.86 53.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.81 55.3%
1.86 53.8%
1.51 66.2%
1.38 72.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 143.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 144.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 145.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 146.5 1.83 54.6% 1.63 61.4%
Over 147.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.72 58.1%
Over 148.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.50 66.7%
Over 149.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 150.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 146.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 147.5 1.89 52.9% 1.86 53.8%
Under 148.5 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
5.50 18.2% 5.30 18.9% 4.00 25.0% 5.50 18.2%
1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTunisia - Nigeria

Tunisia
0 matches total
Nigeria
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Tunisia
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Nigeria
Tunisia Team comparison Nigeria
3 Games 3
2 Wins 1
1 Losses 2
224 Scored 208
210 Conceded 226
5 Points 4
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Tunisia Nigeria 3 Games 3 2 Wins 1 Losses 2 224 Scored 208 210 Conceded 226 5 Points 4 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 57% 29% 14% Double chance 43% 35% 22% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289292' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');