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Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Yuzhnyy Sudan - Cape Verde

Basketball
Y
Yuzhnyy Sudan
83 : 63
Finished
C
Cape Verde
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Yuzhnyy Sudan — 89%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Cape Verde — odds 14.00 · edge +3.7% · 3 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yuzhnyy Sudan - Cape Verde July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Yuzhnyy Sudan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / 2 5.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 84.0%
2 16.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Yuzhnyy Sudan
#29 ptsGP 54-1
Cape Verde
#37 ptsGP 52-3

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
109.0Points per game79.0
114.4Offensive rating80.0
82.9Defensive rating110.3
30.0Point differential-30.0
87.0Assists63.0
141.0Rebounds105.0
51.0%3-pointers, %41.0%

Team form

Yuzhnyy Sudan

Coach: Royal Ivey

Overall LWWLL Net +33.3
Home WL Net +48.0
Away LWLL Net +26.0
Cape Verde

Coach: Emanuel Trovoada

Overall WLWLW Net -9.3
Home LW Net -60.0
Away WWLW Net +16.0

Team stats

Yuzhnyy Sudan Overall · Home/Away Cape Verde
66.7%H 100.0% · A 50.0%Win %66.7%H 0.0% · A 100.0%
33.3H 48.0 · A 26.0Point differential-9.3H -60.0 · A 16.0
81.3H 79.0 · A 82.5Points per game82.0H 79.0 · A 83.5
64.7H 55.0 · A 69.5Conceded86.7H 109.0 · A 75.5
43.7%H 41.0% · A 45.0%FG, %44.3%H 41.0% · A 46.0%
66.7A 50.01st half66.7H 0.0
77.0H 80.0 · A 75.5Pace82.6H 86.1 · A 80.8
107.4H 101.0 · A 110.9Offensive rating97.5H 94.5 · A 99.1
85.4H 80.3 · A 88.2Defensive rating103.1H 99.9 · A 104.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Yuzhnyy Sudan Total (over) Cape Verde
81.3 Points per game 82.0
66.7%
O 78.5
100.0%
33.3%
O 79.5
66.7%
33.3%
O 80.5
66.7%
33.3%
O 81.5srednee
66.7%
33.3%
O 82.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 83.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 84.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 85.5
0.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Yuzhnyy Sudan Total (over) Cape Verde
33.3%
O 101.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 102.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 103.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 104.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 105.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 106.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 107.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 108.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Yuzhnyy Sudan 44.3 / Cape Verde —

Yuzhnyy Sudan Total (over) Cape Verde
66.7%
O 40.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 41.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 42.5
0.0%
66.7%
O 43.5srednee
0.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Yuzhnyy Sudan — / Cape Verde 43.0

Yuzhnyy Sudan Total (over) Cape Verde
33.3%
O 40.5
100.0%
33.3%
O 41.5
100.0%
33.3%
O 42.5srednee
66.7%
33.3%
O 43.5
33.3%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Yuzhnyy Sudan
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Cape Verde
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Yuzhnyy Sudan
152 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 95
  • Concedes: 57
Cape Verde
154 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 72
  • Concedes: 82
Total line: 163.5 · projection from form: 153 · Over in 0% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Yuzhnyy Sudan - Cape Verde

Basketball, Yuzhnyy Sudan - Cape Verde, 4 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 83 : 63, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Africa. Vo skolko nachalo matches Yuzhnyy Sudan - Cape Verde, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 136.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 2.75 36.4%
— — 2.45 40.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 136.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 137.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 138.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 139.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 140.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 141.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 160.5 — 1.86 53.8% —
Over 161.5 1.83 54.6% — —
Over 162.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
Over 163.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 160.5 — 1.84 54.4% —
Under 161.5 1.89 52.9% — —
Under 162.5 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% —
Under 163.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
12.00 8.3% 5.60 17.9% 12.90 7.8%
Match center
Yuzhnyy Sudan
W
02.07 12:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Yuzhnyy Sudan 95:57 Liviya
1 Wins
0 Losses
95.0 Scored
57.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Cape Verde
L
02.07 15:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Cape Verde 72:82 Cameroon
0 Wins
1 Losses
72.0 Scored
82.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyYuzhnyy Sudan - Cape Verde

Yuzhnyy Sudan
0 matches total
Cape Verde
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Yuzhnyy Sudan
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Cape Verde
Yuzhnyy Sudan Team comparison Cape Verde
4 Games 4
3 Wins 2
1 Losses 2
339 Scored 318
251 Conceded 342
7 Points 6
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Yuzhnyy Sudan Cape Verde 4 Games 4 3 Wins 2 1 Losses 2 339 Scored 318 251 Conceded 342 7 Points 6 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 29% 21% 50% Double chance 25% 39% 36% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289274' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');