Who is the favourite in Tunisia vs South Sudan?

By the PropickAI model, Tunisia is favoured — about 88% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Tunisia vs South Sudan?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tunisia. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Tunisia vs South Sudan?

Live odds for Tunisia vs South Sudan from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick South Sudan win probability ~88% confidence High best odds 1.93

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to South Sudan. Full breakdown below.

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Africa: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug

30.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

30.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Finished

Africa: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug

Tunisia vs South Sudan — Basketball prediction

Basketball

Tunisia

68 : 70

Finished

South Sudan

Tunisia face South Sudan in basketball, in Africa: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug, on 30 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to South Sudan: roughly 88% to win. Sportsbook prices (6 books) put that result at roughly 91%.

Recent form reads: Tunisia have 3 won and 2 lost of their last 5; South Sudan have 4 won and 1 lost of 5. South Sudan come in having won their last matches. On the Glicko scale it is 1764 for Tunisia against 1869 for South Sudan - a gap of 104 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is high. That is a 3-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on South Sudan (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 104 Glicko rating points, the model's 88% for South Sudan. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 South Sudan — 88%

1 · Tunisia11.7%

market 9%

2 · South Sudan ✓ Pick88.3%

market 91%

Model estimate: win Tunisia 11.7%, win South Sudan 88.3%. Model favourite — South Sudan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tunisia - South Sudan August 30, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tunisia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tunisia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.77 / 2 1.93
Glicko: Tunisia 11.7% / South Sudan 88.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 6 books · best price +89.2%

1 8.8%

2 ✓ Pick 91.2%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 5.10 ↑ 8.00

Winner 2 1.13 ↓ 1.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Tunisia

11.20

South Sudan

91%

1.93

Total

Over 151.5

50%

1.90

Under 151.5

50%

1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Tunisia

#210 ptsGP 64-2

South Sudan

#210 ptsGP 64-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins2

68.3Points on average70.7

Head-to-head matches: 3 · average total 139.0 (points)

Team form

Tunisia

6-4WLWWLLWWWL

points for 70.5points against 69.7

South Sudan

6-4LLWWLWWLWW

points for 78.8points against 68.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 30.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Market 1 52.2% @ 1.77 / 2 47.8% @ 1.93

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model South Sudan 88%

💹 Market South Sudan 91%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Tunisia - South Sudan

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 68:70

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Watch reduced: confidence too high Data: line, form, table away - 88.3% fact: away hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.027 / LogLoss 0.124

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: away hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.240 / LogLoss 0.426

Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: away hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.240 / LogLoss 0.426

Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: away hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.240 / LogLoss 0.426

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tunisia 8.9% 11.7%

South Sudan 91.1% 88.3% market and model agree

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 11.7% / 88.3% probabilities

Rating 1,764 / 1,869 Tunisia / South Sudan

RD 210 / 197 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,345-2,184 / 1,474-2,264 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.93 Fonbet · weak value +70.4% · model 88.3%

1 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 11.7%

Total

Over 143.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Over 144.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.86 53.8%	—
	1.86 53.8%	—
	1.91 52.4%	—
	1.86 53.8%	—
	1.91 52.4%	—
	1.86 53.8%	—
	1.86 53.8%	—
	1.86 53.8%	1.85 54.1%
	1.86 53.8%	—
	1.81 55.3%	—
	1.86 53.8%	1.84 54.4%
	1.81 55.3%	1.85 54.1%
	1.86 53.8%	1.80 55.6%
	1.86 53.8%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 143.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 144.5	—	—	1.57 63.7%
Over 145.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%
Over 146.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 149.5	1.83 54.6%	1.81 55.3%	—
Over 150.5	1.86 53.8%	1.86 53.8%	—
Over 151.5	1.86 53.8%	1.84 54.4%	—
Over 152.5	—	1.88 53.2%	—
Under 149.5	1.89 52.9%	1.89 52.9%	—
Under 150.5	1.86 53.8%	1.84 54.4%	—
Under 151.5	1.86 53.8%	1.86 53.8%	—
Under 152.5	—	1.82 55.0%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
	11.00 9.1%	9.90 10.1%	1.77 56.5%	10.50 9.5%	10.50 9.5%	11.20 8.9%
	1.02 98.0%	1.02 98.0%	1.93 51.8%	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.03 97.1%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-3

2026-08-30 · Tunisia 75:79 Yuzhnyy Sudan

2022-07-02 · Tunisia 61:75 Yuzhnyy Sudan

2022-02-26 · Tunisia 64:72 Yuzhnyy Sudan

2021-09-02 · Tunisia 80:65 Yuzhnyy Sudan

Source: ruscore

Tunisia

L W W W L

2026-08-28 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, 2nd Round, Group E

Tunisia Cameroon 83:61 Tunisia

2026-08-27 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, 2nd Round, Group E

Tunisia Tunisia 60:56 Cape Verde

2026-07-05 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, Group C

Tunisia Tunisia 61:50 Guinea

2026-07-03 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, Group C

Tunisia Rwanda 67:83 Tunisia

2026-07-02 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, Group C

Tunisia Tunisia 81:84 Nigeria

3 Wins

2 Losses

69.2 Scored

68.0 Conceded

60% Win percentage

South Sudan

W W L W W

2026-08-28 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, 2nd Round, Group E

South Sudan 82:79 Nigeria South Sudan

2026-08-27 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, 2nd Round, Group E

Guinea 71:81 South Sudan South Sudan

2026-07-05 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, Group A

South Sudan 74:78 Cameroon South Sudan

2026-07-04 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, Group A

South Sudan 83:63 Cape Verde South Sudan

2026-07-02 World Cup Qualification 2027, Africa, Group A

Libya 57:95 South Sudan South Sudan

4 Wins

1 Losses

83.0 Scored

69.6 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Tunisia - South Sudan

Tunisia

3 matches total

South Sudan

Tunisia: 1 (33.3%)

South Sudan: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Tunisia 80:65 (2021-09-02) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 145 points (80:65, 2021-09-02) most points in a game

Match history

2022-07-02 World Cup Qualification, Africa 2027

South Sudan 75:61 Tunisia

2022-02-26 World Cup Qualification, Africa 2027

Tunisia 64:72 South Sudan

2021-09-02 World Cup Qualification, Africa 2027

Tunisia 80:65 South Sudan

Tunisia vs South Sudan — Basketball prediction

AI match prediction Tunisia - South Sudan August 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

League table

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Unlock the full AI analysis

Tunisia - South Sudan

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Form & head-to-head

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions