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AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
03.07.2026 21:10 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 21:10 UTC
Finished

AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Canada - Puerto-Riko

Basketball
Canada
Canada
110 : 84
Finished
Puerto-Riko
Puerto-Riko
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Canada — 89%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Puerto-Riko — odds 14.00 · edge +4.0% · 2 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canada - Puerto-Riko July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Canada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Canada
#18 ptsGP 44-0
Puerto-Riko
#35 ptsGP 41-3

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
89.0Points per game79.0
125.8Offensive rating110.8
111.7Defensive rating124.8
10.0Point differential-10.0
55.5Assists60.0
123.0Rebounds121.5
32.5%3-pointers, %30.0%

Team form

Canada

Coach: Jordi Fernández Torres

Overall WWWWL Net +34.5
Home WL Net +12.0
Away WWWW Net +42.0
Puerto-Riko

Coach: Nelson Colón

Overall WLLLL Net -6.5
Home WLLL Net -7.3
Away LL Net -4.0

Team stats

Canada Overall · Home/Away Puerto-Riko
100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%Win %25.0%H 33.3% · A 0.0%
34.5H 12.0 · A 42.0Point differential-6.5H -7.3 · A -4.0
99.5H 94.0 · A 101.3Points per game84.5H 82.7 · A 90.0
82.3H 88.0 · A 80.3Conceded87.8H 86.3 · A 92.0
51.3%H 50.0% · A 51.7%FG, %40.5%H 41.3% · A 38.0%
—1st half50.0H 33.3
80.4H 79.1 · A 80.8Pace78.4H 78.4 · A 78.1
123.2H 124.5 · A 122.7Offensive rating107.5H 106.8 · A 109.6
101.8H 102.9 · A 101.4Defensive rating111.6H 110.9 · A 113.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Canada Total (over) Puerto-Riko
99.5 Points per game 84.5
100.0%
O 88.5
50.0%
100.0%
O 89.5
50.0%
100.0%
O 90.5
25.0%
100.0%
O 91.5srednee
25.0%
100.0%
O 92.5
0.0%
100.0%
O 93.5
0.0%
75.0%
O 94.5
0.0%
75.0%
O 95.5
0.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Canada Total (over) Puerto-Riko
25.0%
O 102.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 103.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 104.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 105.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 106.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 107.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 108.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 109.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Canada 48.8 / Puerto-Riko 43.0

Canada Total (over) Puerto-Riko
75.0%
O 44.5
25.0%
75.0%
O 45.5srednee
25.0%
75.0%
O 46.5
25.0%
75.0%
O 47.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Canada 47.3 / Puerto-Riko 40.8

Canada Total (over) Puerto-Riko
75.0%
O 42.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 43.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 44.5srednee
50.0%
75.0%
O 45.5
50.0%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - America

Team stats

Canada
WWWWLLWWWW
W 8 • D 0 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:91.9 : 73.4
1 place, 8 pts
Puerto-Riko
WLWWLLLLLW
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:83 : 78.9
3 place, 5 pts
Head-to-head: 6 — Canada 6, draws 0, Puerto-Riko 0 (goals 568:506)
  • Puerto Rico — Canada2026-02-27 85:96
  • Canada — Puerto Rico2025-08-26 82:73
  • Canada — Puerto Rico2024-07-21 103:93
  • Canada — Puerto Rico2016-06-29 97:91
  • Puerto Rico — Canada2015-09-04 92:112

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 21:10 UTC
Match center

Canada - Puerto-Riko

Basketball, Canada - Puerto-Riko, 4 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 110 : 84, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Amerika. Vo skolko nachalo matches Canada - Puerto-Riko, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% —
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% —
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 100.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 101.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 179.5 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% —
Over 180.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% —
Over 181.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Over 182.5 1.84 54.4% — —
Under 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 179.5 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 180.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
Under 181.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Under 182.5 1.84 54.4% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
14.00 7.1% 11.10 9.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCanada - Puerto-Riko

Canada
0 matches total
Puerto-Riko
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Canada
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Puerto-Riko
Canada Team comparison Puerto-Riko
4 Games 4
4 Wins 1
0 Losses 3
398 Scored 338
329 Conceded 351
8 Points 5
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Canada Puerto-Riko 4 Games 4 Wins 1 0 Losses 3 398 Scored 338 329 Conceded 351 8 Points 5 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 57% 14% 29% Double chance 36% 42% 22% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289360' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');