AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
03.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Colombia - Chile

Basketball
Colombia
Colombia
79 : 81
Finished
Chile
Chile
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Colombia77%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colombia - Chile July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Colombia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 7.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.4%
1 87.9%
2 12.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Colombia
#25 ptsGP 32-1
Chile
#44 ptsGP 40-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
86.0Points per game78.0
99.4Offensive rating92.3
90.1Defensive rating101.8
8.0Point differential-8.0
42.0Assists51.0
147.0Rebounds114.0
37.0%3-pointers, %36.0%

Team form

Colombia
Overall LWWLL Net -12.7
Home WW Net +4.0
Away LWLL Net -21.0
Chile
Overall LLLLW Net +15.1
Home LLLW Net +7.2
Away LW Net +35.0

Team stats

Colombia Overall · Home/Away Chile
66.7%H 100.0% · A 50.0%Win %42.9%H 40.0% · A 50.0%
-12.7H 4.0 · A -21.0Point differential15.1H 7.2 · A 35.0
79.3H 80.0 · A 79.0Points per game78.7H 78.2 · A 80.0
85.7H 78.0 · A 89.5Conceded71.1H 74.6 · A 62.5
44.0%H 40.0% · A 46.0%FG, %43.1%H 42.8% · A 44.0%
33.3H 0.0 · A 50.01st half42.9H 40.0 · A 50.0
77.8H 78.4 · A 77.6Pace73.2H 73.7 · A 71.7
101.6H 100.7 · A 102.1Offensive rating107.3H 106.9 · A 108.5
109.7H 108.7 · A 110.3Defensive rating97.0H 96.6 · A 98.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Colombia Total (over) Chile
79.3 Points per game 78.7
66.7%
O 75.5
57.1%
66.7%
O 76.5
57.1%
66.7%
O 77.5
57.1%
66.7%
O 78.5srednee
28.6%
66.7%
O 79.5
28.6%
33.3%
O 80.5
28.6%
33.3%
O 81.5
28.6%
33.3%
O 82.5
28.6%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Colombia 41.7 / Chile —

Colombia Total (over) Chile
66.7%
O 40.5
28.6%
66.7%
O 41.5srednee
28.6%
66.7%
O 42.5
28.6%
33.3%
O 43.5
28.6%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Colombia — / Chile 43.4

Colombia Total (over) Chile
33.3%
O 40.5
57.1%
33.3%
O 41.5
57.1%
33.3%
O 42.5
57.1%
0.0%
O 43.5srednee
42.9%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - America

Team stats

Colombia
LWLLWLLWWL
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:77.2 : 88.2
2 place, 5 pts
Chile
LWLLLLLL
W 1 • D 0 • L 7 (8)
Goals average:74.62 : 78.62
4 place, 4 pts
Head-to-head: 11 — Colombia 7, draws 0, Chile 4 (goals 808:814)
  • Chile — Colombia2026-02-27 78:86
  • Colombia — Chile2025-02-21 97:91
  • Chile — Colombia2024-11-22 74:80
  • Chile — Colombia2023-08-17 77:65
  • Colombia — Chile2022-07-01 67:66

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Colombia - Chile

Basketball, Colombia - Chile, 4 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 79 : 81, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Amerika. Vo skolko nachalo matches Colombia - Chile, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 142.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 143.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.89 52.9%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
2.30 43.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.50 66.7%
1.68 59.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
2.70 37.0%
1.85 54.1%
2.70 37.0%
1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 142.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 143.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 144.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 145.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 146.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 147.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 148.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 149.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 150.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 151.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%
Over 153.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
Under 151.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 153.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5% 1.03 97.1% 1.21 82.6%
3.80 26.3% 4.40 22.7% 7.50 13.3% 4.23 23.6%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyColombia - Chile

Colombia
0 matches total
Chile
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Colombia
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Chile
Colombia Team comparison Chile
3 Games 4
2 Wins 0
1 Losses 4
238 Scored 274
257 Conceded 318
5 Points 4
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Colombia Chile 3 Games 4 2 Wins 0 1 Losses 4 238 Scored 274 257 Conceded 318 5 Points 4 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 71% 29% 0% Double chance 50% 35% 15% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289362' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');