Who is the favourite in Uruguay vs Puerto Rico?

By the PropickAI model, Uruguay is favoured — about 54% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Uruguay vs Puerto Rico?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Uruguay. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Uruguay vs Puerto Rico?

Live odds for Uruguay vs Puerto Rico from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Puerto Rico win probability ~54% best odds 3.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Puerto Rico. Full breakdown below.

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America: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug

31.08.2026 23:10 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

31.08.2026 23:10 UTC

Finished

America: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug

Uruguay vs Puerto Rico — Basketball prediction

Basketball

Uruguay

64 : 55

Finished

Puerto Rico

Uruguay go head-to-head with Puerto Rico in basketball, in America: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug, on 31 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Puerto Rico as the favourite at around 55%. Sportsbook prices (5 books) put that result at roughly 54%.

Recent form reads: Uruguay have 2 won and 2 lost of their last 4; Puerto Rico have 4 won and 1 lost of 5. On the Glicko scale it is 1380 for Uruguay against 1978 for Puerto Rico - a gap of 599 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 599 Glicko rating points, the model's 55% for Puerto Rico. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Puerto Rico — 54%

1 · Uruguay45.6%

2 · Puerto Rico54.4%

Model estimate: win Uruguay 45.6%, win Puerto Rico 54.4%. Model favourite — Puerto Rico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Uruguay

Model confidence 70% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Uruguay - Puerto Rico August 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Uruguay.

Line favourite Fonbet: Uruguay. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.10
Glicko: Uruguay 45.6% / Puerto Rico 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 5 books · best price +75.1%

1 46.7%

2 53.3%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.67 ↑ 2.00

Winner 2 2.07 ↓ 1.72

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Uruguay

46%

2.02

Puerto Rico

54%

3.10

Handicap

Uruguay (1.5)

50%

1.87

Puerto Rico (1.5)

50%

1.85

Total

Over 167

50%

1.89

Under 167

50%

1.86

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Uruguay

#41 ptsGP 10-1

Puerto Rico

#51 ptsGP 10-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

5Wins3

70.4Points on average69.4

Head-to-head matches: 8 · average total 139.8 (points)

Team form

Uruguay

7-3WWLWWWWLWL

points for 85.1points against 77.1

Puerto Rico

7-3LWLWWWWWWL

points for 92.0points against 74.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 31.08.2026 23:10 UTC

Market 1 70.5% @ 1.30 / 2 29.5% @ 3.10

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Puerto Rico 54%

💹 Market Puerto Rico 53%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Uruguay - Puerto Rico

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 64:55

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 54.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.592 / LogLoss 0.785

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 51.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.536 / LogLoss 0.729

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Uruguay 46.2% 45.6%

Puerto Rico 53.8% 54.4% market and model agree

1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 45.6% / 54.4% probabilities

Rating 1,380 / 1,978 Uruguay / Puerto Rico

RD 226 / 180 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 927-1,832 / 1,618-2,339 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.10 Fonbet · weak value +68.7% · model 54.4%

1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 45.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.88 market consensus · line only

2 1 1.92 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.76 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 155.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Over 156.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.65 37.7%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.10 47.6%
	3.10 32.3%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.38 72.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.42 70.4%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 155.5	1.32 75.8%
Over 156.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 157.5	1.30 76.9%
Over 158.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 159.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 160.5	1.53 65.4%
Over 161.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 163.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 164.5	2.75 36.4%
Over 165.5	3.20 31.3%
Over 166.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 167.5	2.90 34.5%
Over 168.5	2.80 35.7%
Over 169.5	2.70 37.0%
Over 170.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 171.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 172.5	2.60 38.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon	Pinnacle
	1.30 76.9%	2.02 49.5%	2.02 49.5%	2.02 49.5%	1.97 50.7%
	3.10 32.3%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.78 56.2%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-3

2026-08-31 · Uruguay 80:75 Puerto-Riko

2022-11-15 · Uruguay 68:76 Puerto-Riko

2022-08-29 · Uruguay 78:70 Puerto-Riko

2019-02-26 · Uruguay 61:65 Puerto-Riko

2018-11-29 · Uruguay 64:62 Puerto-Riko

Source: ruscore

Uruguay

L W L W W

2026-08-27 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group F

Uruguay Uruguay 94:103 Bahamas

2026-07-05 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D

Uruguay Uruguay 99:70 Cuba

2026-07-03 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D

Uruguay Uruguay 76:91 Argentina

2026-03-03 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D

Uruguay Cuba 62:88 Uruguay

2026-02-28 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D

Uruguay Argentina 44:61 Uruguay

3 Wins

2 Losses

83.6 Scored

74.0 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Puerto Rico

L W L W L

2026-08-27 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group F

Argentina 89:75 Puerto Rico Puerto Rico

2026-07-06 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B

Bahamas 92:115 Puerto Rico Puerto Rico

2026-07-03 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B

Canada 110:84 Puerto Rico Puerto Rico

2026-03-01 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B

Puerto Rico 71:66 Bahamas Puerto Rico

2026-02-27 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B

Puerto Rico 85:96 Canada Puerto Rico

2 Wins

3 Losses

86.0 Scored

90.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Uruguay - Puerto Rico

Uruguay

3 matches total

Puerto Rico

Uruguay: 1 (33.3%)

Puerto Rico: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Puerto Rico 76:68 (2022-11-15) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 148 points (78:70, 2022-08-29) most points in a game

Match history

2022-11-15 World Cup Qualification, Americas 2026

Puerto Rico 76:68 Uruguay

2022-08-29 World Cup Qualification, Americas 2026

Uruguay 78:70 Puerto Rico

2019-02-26 World Cup Qualification, Americas 2026

Puerto Rico 65:61 Uruguay

Uruguay vs Puerto Rico — Basketball prediction

AI match prediction Uruguay - Puerto Rico August 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

League table

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Unlock the full AI analysis

Uruguay - Puerto Rico

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Form & head-to-head

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions