Argentina. Torneo Federal
Hindu Club - Tokio Posados
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Hindu Club — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · Hindu Club): model 51% · market 32% Δ +19 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Hindu Club 59.8%, win Tokio Posados 40.2%. Model favourite — Hindu Club.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hindu Club - Tokio Posados 15 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tokio Posados.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.85 / 2 1.35
- Glicko: Hindu Club 59.8% / Tokio Posados 40.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Hindu Club - Tokio Posados
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Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -3.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| П1 -4.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 +1.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 +10.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +11.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| П2 +12.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | — | 1.62 61.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 133.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| ТБ 134.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 135.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТБ 136.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 137.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 138.5 | — | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 139.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 140.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 141.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 142.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 143.5 | — | — | 2.17 46.1% |
| ТБ 144.5 | — | — | 2.17 46.1% |
| ТБ 145.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТБ 146.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 148.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 148.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 2.85 35.1% | 1.48 67.6% |
| П2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 1.35 74.1% | 2.47 40.5% |
Hindu Club
Tokio Posados
Full head-to-head historyHindu Club - Tokio Posados
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