•Model backs Pekinskiy Univ: probability 67% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.34)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
•Total: Over 157.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 157.5 (odds 1.85)
•Handicap F1 +6.5: score forecast 77:83 (diff -6) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ense Univ - Peking Univ August 4, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Peking Univ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.95 / 2 1.35
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
3 books
131.4%
2 ✓ Pick68.6%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P12.95→ 2.95
Winner P21.35→ 1.35
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start04.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Market1 31.4% @ 2.95 / 2 68.6% @ 1.35
Form1 matches
Match center
Ense Univ - Peking Univ
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form1/1
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
FormChampionat, Flashscore
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Ense Univ31.4%32.8%
Peking Univ68.6%67.2%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P232.8% / 67.2%
probabilities
Rating1,839 / 1,500
Ense Univ / Peking Univ
RD291 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,257-2,421 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.35
Fonbet · no value · model 67.2%
12.95
Fonbet · no value · model 32.8%
Total
Over 139.51.85
market consensus · line only
Over 157.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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